Myocardial ischemia constitutes one of the most important pathophysiological features in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Chronic and recurrent myocardial ischemia leads to fibrosis, which may culminate in myocardial dysfunction. Since the direct visualization of coronary microcirculation in vivo is not possible, its function must be studied indirectly. Invasive and noninvasive techniques allow microcirculatory dysfunction to be evaluated, including echocardiography, magnetic resonance, positron emission tomography, and cardiac catheterization. Blunted myocardial blood flow and coronary flow reserve have been suggested to associate with unfavorable prognosis. Microcirculatory dysfunction may be one additional important parameter to take into account for risk stratification beyond the conventional risk factors.
Background: Bicuspid aortic valve is the most common CHD. Its association with early valvular dysfunction, endocarditis, thoracic aorta dilatation, and aortic dissection is well established. Objective: The aim of this study was to assess the incidence and predictors of cardiac events in adults with bicuspid aortic valve. Methods: We carried out a retrospective analysis of cardiac outcomes in ambulatory adults with bicuspid aortic valve followed-up in a tertiary hospital centre. Outcomes were defined as follows: interventional -intervention on the aortic valve or thoracic aorta; medical -death, aortic dissection, aortic valve endocarditis, congestive heart failure, arrhythmias, or ischaemic heart disease requiring hospital admission; and a composite end point of both. Kaplan-Meier curves were generated to determine event rates, and predictors of cardiac events were determined by multivariate analysis. Results: A total of 227 patients were followed-up over 13 ± 9 years; 29% of patients developed severe aortic valve dysfunction and 12.3% reached ascending thoracic aorta dimensions above 45 mm. At least one cardiac outcome occurred in 38.8% of patients, with an incidence rate at 20 years of follow-up of 47 ± 4%; 33% of patients were submitted to an aortic valve or thoracic aorta intervention. Survival 20 years after diagnosis was 94 ± 2%. Independent predictors of the composite end point were baseline moderate-severe aortic valve dysfunction (hazard ratio, 3.19; 95% confidence interval, 1.35-7.54; p < 0.01) and aortic valve leaflets calcification (hazard ratio, 4.72; 95% confidence interval, 1.91-11.64; p < 0.005). Conclusions: In this study of bicuspid aortic valve, the long-term survival was excellent but with occurrence of frequent cardiovascular events. Baseline aortic valve calcification and dysfunction were the only independent predictors of events.
Background: Serum uric acid (UA) has been shown to be an independent predictor of outcome in the general population and in patients with heart failure. There are, however, limited data regarding the prognostic value of UA in the context of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) particularly in medium-term follow up and the available results are contradictory. Materials and methods: Study of consecutive patients admitted with an ACS (with and without ST-segment elevation) at a single-centre coronary care unit. Primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at 1-year follow up. We evaluated if serum UA is an independent predictor of outcome and if it has any added value on top of GRACE risk score for risk prediction. Results: We included 683 patients, mean age 64±13 years, 69% males. In-hospital and 1-year mortality were 4.5 and 7.6% respectively. The best cut-off of UA to predict 1-year mortality was 6.25 mg/dl (sensitivity 59%, specificity 72%) and 30.2% of the patients had an increased UA according to this cut off. Independent predictors of UA were male gender (β= 0.078), body mass index (β=0.163), diuretics before admission (β=0.142), and admission serum creatinine (β=0.403). One-year mortality was significantly higher in patients with increased UA (15.5 vs. 4.2%, p<0.001; log rank, p<0.001). After adjustment, both increased UA as a categorical variable (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.23-4.13, p=0.008) and as a continuous variable (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.13-1.41, p<0.001) are independent predictors of mortality. The AUC increases only slightly after inclusion of UA in the model with GRACE risk score (from 0.78 to 0.79, p=0.350). Both models had a good fit; however, model fit worsened after inclusion of UA. Overall, the inclusion of UA in the original was associated with an improvement in both the net reclassification improvement (continuous NRI=44%), and the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI=0.052) suggesting effective reclassification. Conclusions: Serum UA is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in medium-term after the whole spectrum of ACS and has an added value for risk stratification.
Introduction: There are barriers to proper implementation of risk stratification scores in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS), including their complexity. Our objective was to develop a simple score for risk stratification of all-cause in-hospital mortality in a population of patients with ACS. Methods: The score was developed from a nationwide ACS registry. The development and internal validation cohorts were obtained from the first 31 829 patients, randomly separated (60% and 40%, respectively). The external validation cohort consisted of the last 8586 patients included in the registry. This cohort is significantly different from the other cohorts in terms of baseline characteristics, treatment and mortality. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to select four variables with the highest predictive potential. A score was allocated to each parameter based on the regression coefficient of each variable in the logistic regression model: 1 point for systolic blood pressure ≤116 mmHg, Killip class 2 or 3, and ST-segment elevation; 2 points for age ≥72 years; and 3 points for Killip class 4. Results: The new score had good discriminative ability in the development cohort (area under the curve [AUC] 0.796), and it was similar in the internal validation cohort (AUC 0.785, p=0.333). In the external validation cohort, there was also excellent discriminative ability (AUC 0.815), with an adequate fit. * Corresponding author. E-mail address: ana timoteo@yahoo.com (A.T. Timóteo). Conclusions:The ProACS risk score enables easy and simple risk stratification of patients with ACS for in-hospital mortality that can be used at the first medical contact, with excellent predictive ability in a contemporary population.
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