Background: Renal function is a powerful prognostic variable in patients with heart failure (HF). Hospitalisations for acute HF (AHF) may be associated with further worsening of renal function (WRF). Methods and results: We analysed the clinical significance of WRF in 318 consecutive patients admitted at our institute for AHF. WRF was defined as the occurrence, at any time during the hospitalisation, of both a ≥25% and a ≥ 0.3 mg/dL increase in serum creatinine (s-Cr) from admission (WRF-Abs-%). Results: Patients were followed for 480 ± 363 days. Fifty-three patients (17%) died and 132 (41%) were rehospitalised for HF. WRF-Abs-% occurred in 107 (34%) patients. At multivariable survival analysis, WRF-Abs-% was an independent predictor of death or HF rehospitalisation (adjusted HR, 1.47; 95%CI, 1.13-1.81; p = 0.024). The independent predictors of WRF-Abs-%, evaluated using multivariable logistic regression, were history of chronic kidney disease (p = 0.002), LV ejection fraction (p = 0.012), furosemide daily dose (p = 0.03) and NYHA class (p = 0.05) on admission. Conclusion: WRF is a frequent finding in patients hospitalised for AHF and is associated with a poor prognosis. Severity of HF and daily furosemide dose are the most important predictors of the occurrence of WRF.

Aims: Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), NT-proBNP and troponins are useful for the assessment of patients with heart failure. Few data exist about their serial changes and their prognostic value in patients with acute heart failure (AHF). Methods and results: NT-proBNP and troponin-T plasma levels were measured at baseline, after 6, 12, 24, 48 h and at discharge in 116 consecutive patients with AHF and no evidence of acute coronary syndrome. NT-proBNP levels were 4421 pg/mL at baseline, declined after 24 h and reached their nadir at 48 h (2703 pg/mL). Troponin-T was detectable in 48% of patients. During a median follow-up of 184 days, 52 patients died or had a non-fatal cardiovascular hospitalisation. At a multivariable analysis including clinical and echo-Doppler variables, NTproBNP plasma levels at discharge, detectable troponin-T plasma levels, and NYHA class at discharge were the only independent prognostic factors. Conclusion: In patients with AHF, NT-proBNP levels decline 24 h after the initiation of intravenous therapy and troponin-T is detectable in 48% of cases. NT-proBNP levels at discharge, detectable troponin-T levels, NYHA class and serum sodium have independent prognostic value.

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The prognostic relevance of a rapid rate of hemodynamic progression of aortic stenosis (AS) has been predominantly investigated in tertiary centers. We reviewed the clinical and echocardiographic data from 153 asymptomatic patients with AS (age 77 ± 9 years; 65% men), with normal left ventricular function and paired echocardiograms ≥4 months apart (mean 2.9 ± 2.1 years), evaluated in a nonreferral echocardiographic laboratory. The severity of AS was graded by the peak aortic velocity (Vmax) and progression was classified as slow or fast according to a cutoff value of 0.3 m/s increase annually. The end points were all-cause mortality and a composite of all-cause mortality and aortic valve replacement (AVR). At baseline, 135 patients (88%) had mild-to-moderate and 18 (12%) severe AS. Of the 153 patients, 49 (32%) showed fast progression (0.61 ± 0.32 m/s/yr) and 104 (68%) had slow progression (0.10 ± 0.16 m/s/yr). Among the 144 patients (94%) with clinical follow-up data, 40 died and 48 underwent AVR. The mortality rate was greater than that of the general population (p <0.001). On multivariate analysis, the independent predictors of mortality were the yearly change in Vmax (hazard ratio [HR] 13.352 per m/s increase, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.136 to 34.713, p <0.001) and age (HR 1.122 per year, 95% CI 1.0728 to 1.735, p <0.001). The predictors of the composite end point of death and AVR were the yearly change in Vmax (HR 12.307, 95% CI 6.024 to 25.140, p <0.001) and Vmax on the initial echocardiogram (HR 2.684, 95% CI 1.921 to 3.750, p <0.001). In conclusion, primary care patients with asymptomatic AS are usually elderly and frequently develop rapid hemodynamic progression, which independently predicts, not only AVR, but also overall mortality.