Objectives To investigate the value of radiomics based on CT imaging in predicting invasive adenocarcinoma manifesting as pure ground-glass nodules (pGGNs). Methods This study enrolled 395 pGGNs with histopathology-confirmed benign nodules or adenocarcinoma. A total of 396 radiomic features were extracted from each labeled nodule. A Rad-score was constructed with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) in the training set. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to establish the radiographic model and the combined radiographic-radiomics model. The predictive performance was validated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Based on the multivariate logistic regression analysis, an individual prediction nomogram was developed and the clinical utility was assessed. Results Five radiomic features and four radiographic features were selected for predicting the invasive lesions. The combined radiographic-radiomics model (AUC 0.77; 95% CI, 0.69-0.86) performed better than the radiographic model (AUC 0.71; 95% CI, 0.62-0.81) and Rad-score (AUC 0.72; 95% CI, 0.63-0.81) in the validation set. The clinical utility of the individualized prediction nomogram developed using the Rad-score, margin, spiculation, and size was confirmed in the validation set. The decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated that using a model with Rad-score to predict the invasive lesion would be more beneficial than that without Rad-score and the clinical model. Conclusions The proposed radiomics-based nomogram that incorporated the Rad-score, margin, spiculation, and size may be utilized as a noninvasive biomarker for the assessment of invasive prediction in patients with pGGNs. Key Points • CT-based radiomics analysis helps invasive prediction manifested as pGGNs. • The combined radiographic-radiomics model may be utilized as a noninvasive biomarker for predicting invasive lesion for pGGNs. • Radiomics-based individual nomogram may serve as a vital decision support tool to identify invasive pGGNs, obviating further workup and blind follow-up.

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Up to 50% of Asian patients with NSCLC have EGFR gene mutations, indicating that selecting eligible patients for EGFR-TKIs treatments is clinically important. The aim of the study is to develop and validate radiomics-based nomograms, integrating radiomics, CT features and clinical characteristics, to non-invasively predict EGFR mutation status and subtypes. Materials and Methods: We included 637 patients with lung adenocarcinomas, who performed the EGFR mutations analysis in the current study. The whole dataset was randomly split into a training dataset (n = 322) and validation dataset (n = 315). A sub-dataset of EGFR-mutant lesions (EGFR mutation in exon 19 and in exon 21) was used to explore the capability of radiomic features for predicting EGFR mutation subtypes. Four hundred seventy-five radiomic features were extracted and a radiomics sore (R-score) was constructed by using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression in the training dataset. A radiomics-based nomogram, incorporating clinical characteristics, CT features and R-score was developed in the training dataset and evaluated in the validation dataset. Results: The constructed R-scores achieved promising performance on predicting EGFR mutation status and subtypes, with AUCs of 0.694 and 0.708 in two validation datasets, respectively. Moreover, the constructed radiomics-based nomograms excelled the R-scores, clinical, CT features alone in terms of predicting EGFR mutation status and subtypes, with AUCs of 0.734 and 0.757 in two validation datasets, respectively. Conclusions: Radiomics-based nomogram, incorporating clinical characteristics, CT features and radiomic features, can non-invasively and efficiently predict the EGFR mutation status and thus potentially fulfill the ultimate purpose of precision medicine. The methodology is a possible promising strategy to predict EGFR mutation subtypes, providing the support of clinical treatment scenario.