Background Patients with radioactive iodine (131I, RAI)-refractory locally advanced or metastatic differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) have a poor prognosis due to the lack of effective treatment options. Methods This multicentre, randomized (1:1), double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 study (DECISION; NCT00984282) investigated sorafenib (400 mg orally twice-daily) in patients with RAI-refractory locally advanced or metastatic DTC progressing within the past 14 months. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS) by central independent review. Patients receiving placebo could crossover to open-label sorafenib upon progression. Archival tumour tissue was examined for BRAF and RAS mutations. Serum thyroglobulin was measured at baseline and each visit. Findings A total of 417 patients were randomized to sorafenib (n=207) or placebo (n=210). Sorafenib treatment significantly improved PFS compared with placebo (hazard ratio, 0·59; 95% confidence interval, 0·45–0·76; P<0·0001; median 10·8 vs. 5·8 months, respectively). PFS improvement was seen in all pre-specified clinical and genetic biomarker subgroups irrespective of mutation status. There was no statistically significant difference in overall survival (hazard ratio, 0·80; 95% confidence interval, 0·54–1·19; P=0·14); median overall survival had not been reached and 150 (71%) patients receiving placebo crossed over to sorafenib upon progression. Response rates (all partial responses) were 12·2% (24/196; sorafenib) and 0·5% (1/201; placebo; p<0·0001). Median thyroglobulin levels increased in the placebo group, and decreased, then paralleled treatment responses in the sorafenib group. Most adverse events were grade 1 or 2. The most common treatment-emergent adverse events in the sorafenib arm were hand–foot skin reaction (76·3%), diarrhoea (68·6%), alopecia (67·1%), and rash/desquamation (50·2%). Interpretation Sorafenib significantly improved PFS compared with placebo in patients with progressive RAI-refractory DTC. Adverse events were consistent with the known sorafenib safety profile. These results suggest that sorafenib represents a new treatment option for patients with progressive RAI-refractory DTC.

A B S T R A C T PurposeTo investigate the prognostic value of BRAF V600E mutation for the recurrence of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). Patients and MethodsThis was a retrospective multicenter study of the relationship between BRAF V600E mutation and recurrence of PTC in 2,099 patients (1,615 women and 484 men), with a median age of 45 years (interquartile range [IQR], 34 to 58 years) and a median follow-up time of 36 months (IQR, 14 to 75 months). ResultsThe overall BRAF V600E mutation prevalence was 48.5% (1,017 of 2,099). PTC recurrence occurred in 20.9% (213 of 1,017) of BRAF V600E mutation-positive and 11.6% (125 of 1,082) of BRAF V600E mutation-negative patients. Recurrence rates were 47.71 (95% CI, 41.72 to 54.57) versus 26.03 (95% CI, 21.85 to 31.02) per 1,000 person-years in BRAF mutation-positive versus -negative patients (P Ͻ .001), with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.82 (95% CI, 1.46 to 2.28), which remained significant in a multivariable model adjusting for patient sex and age at diagnosis, medical center, and various conventional pathologic factors. Significant association between BRAF mutation and PTC recurrence was also found in patients with conventionally low-risk disease stage I or II and micro-PTC and within various subtypes of PTC. For example, in BRAF mutation-positive versus -negative follicular-variant PTC, recurrence occurred in 21.3% (19 of 89) and 7.0% (24 of 342) of patients, respectively, with recurrence rates of 53.84 (95% CI, 34.34 to 84.40) versus 19.47 (95% CI, 13.05 to 29.04) per 1,000 person-years (P Ͻ .001) and an HR of 3.20 (95% CI, 1.46 to 7.02) after adjustment for clinicopathologic factors. BRAF mutation was associated with poorer recurrence-free probability in Kaplan-Meier survival analyses in various clinicopathologic categories. ConclusionThis large multicenter study demonstrates an independent prognostic value of BRAF V600E mutation for PTC recurrence in various clinicopathologic categories.