1960-2010 Döneminde Türkiye’den OECD Ülkelerine Gerçekleşen Göçün Çekim Modeli ile Analizi

Abstract

For several decades international migration is one of the most important issues of the global agenda which causes significant economic and social changes in both source countries and host countries of migration. The economic reasons of international migration can be analyzed with the Gravity Model effectively and elaborately. In this study, we analyze the economical determinants of immigration to the 20 OECD countries from Turkey over the 1960-2010 period with an augmented Gravity Model. Results of the analysis indicate that there is a positive correlation between the immigration from Turkey to OCED countries and GDP increases of OECD countries. On the other hand, rises in Turkey's GDP negatively affects the immigration to OECD countries. The increases of Turkey's population positively affects the immigration to OECD countries from Turkey while the increases in the populations of OECD countries negatively affect the immigration from Turkey. The previous immigrant stock of OECD countries has a positive effect on immigration from Turkey. And lastly, geographical distance between Turkey and OECD countries has a negative effect on the immigration from Turkey. In other words, immigrants from Turkey choose to migrate to closer countries and farther distances negatively affect the number of immigrants from Turkey to OECD countries.

Türkiye’den Avrupa’ya Göçün Ampirik Analizi: 2015-2021 Dönemi İçin Covid-19 Etkisini İçeren Çekim Modelinden Kanıtlar

“…Essentially the studies using gravity model is not included the same factors due to having flexible qualification or augmented form of gravity model. In terms of the income factor, in generel review, studies found that people migrate for a higher level income (Karemera et al 2000;Clark et al 2007;Dinçer and Muratoğlu, 2014;Muratoğlu and Muratoğlu, 2016;Zülfikar Savcı, 2016;Dedeoğlu and Genç, 2017;Çetin, 2019;Koç and Solmaz, 2019). This proof is coherent with assumption of the gravity model.…”

“…If we handle the population factor symbolising a demographic determinants, it is pointed in the studies that population is generally significant for migration decision. However population in origin and destionation region differs in terms of the result (Karemera et al 2000;Clark et al 2007;Dinçer and Muratoğlu, 2014;Muratoğlu and Muratoğlu, 2016;Koç and Solmaz, 2016;Dedeoğlu and Genç, 2017). That situation is likely related to meaning of population.…”

Institutional quality and emigration nexus: Empirical evidence from Türkiye

“…A few studies questioned the determinants of international migration flows of Türkiye in the framework of the gravity model. Analysing the bilateral migration flows from Türkiye to OECD countries for the period 1960–2010, Muratoğlu and Muratoğlu (2016) concluded that the economic size of OECD countries and the population size of Türkiye are positively associated with emigration flows; on the other side, the economic size of Türkiye and population size of OECD countries are negatively associated with them. In addition, the study reached evidence of the discouraging impact of distance on this type of migration.…”

Evaluation of the Prosperity Seeking and Identity of Migration to Europe Within the Scope of the Augmented Gravity Model

“…Gelir, nüfus ve mesafe faktörü açısından Abel vd. ( 2019), Agbola ve Acupan (2010), Dedeoğlu ve Genç (2020), Çetin (2019), Iancu (2017), Köseoğlu ve Artan (2020), Muratoğlu ve Muratoğlu (2016) ve diğer birçok çalışma ile benzer sonuçlar elde edilirken; sosyal ağlar, göçmen stoku, dil ortaklığı, istihdam ve işsizlik faktörü bakımından Abel vd. ( 2019), Clark vd.…”