1996-2020 Dönemi̇ İçi̇n Geli̇şmekte Olan Ülkelerde Ekonomi̇k Büyüme, Dövi̇z Kuru Ve Diş Ti̇caret İli̇şki̇si̇: Panel Veri̇ Anali̇zi̇

Abstract

Many developing countries have aimed to finance their foreign trade deficits in order to ensure macroeconomic stability, development and growth. Fluctuations in exchange rates due to capital inflows and outflows have a significant impact on foreign trade. In this study, it is aimed to determine whether the exchange rate and growth influence foreign trade in developing countries, and if so, in which direction this relationship is. In this respect, there are 17 developing countries (Turkey, Brazil, Argentina, Hungary, Indonesia, Mexico, Czech Republic, China, India, Chile, Egypt, Poland, Russia, South Africa, Pakistan and Thailand, Philippines) that are economically similar to each other, such as per capita income and openness. The data of these countries covering the years 1996-2020 were analyzed. In the study, foreign trade is represented by export and import series whereas growth is represented by GDP series. In the study, the relationship between real exchange rate, economic growth and foreign trade was analyzed using panel data method.