2022 Annual Technology Baseline (ATB) Cost and Performance Data for Electricity Generation Technologies

Vimmerstedt, Laura; Stehly, Tyler; Akar, Sertaç; Sekar, Ashok; Brian, Mirletz,; Stright, Dana; Augustine, Chad; Beiter, Philipp; Bhaskar, Parangat; Blair, Nate; Cohen, Stuart H.; Cole, Wesley; Duffy, Patrick E.; Feldman, David; Gagnon, Pieter; Kurup, Parthiv; Murphy, Caitlin C.; Robins, Jody; Zuboy, Jarett; Oladosu, Debo; Hoffmann, Jeffrey

doi:10.25984/1871952

Cited by 5 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 0 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…The solid trend lines ending in 2021 are based on the empirical data shown in Figs. 2 and 3, while the dashed extensions of those trend lines through 2026-the target year for the CPUC's mid-term reliability procurement-are based on the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's 2022 Annual Technology Baseline (ATB) [41], which provides LCOE projections for each resource through 2050. As mentioned earlier, LCOE is not the same as a levelized PPA price, due to the latter reflecting the receipt of incentives.…”

Section: Historical Ppa Price Comparisonsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…4, geothermal's "cost gap" in 2021 was $39/MWh versus PV, $30/MWh versus wind, $29/MWh versus PV + S (50% storage ratio) and $19/MWh versus PV + S (100% storage ratio). The trend line extensions based on NREL's ATB [41] suggest that these cost gaps are not projected to change materially in the near term. In fact, through 2026, they are expected to widen slightly in all four cases.…”

Section: Historical Ppa Price Comparisonsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Specifically, Fig. 4 projects PPA prices through 2026 based on NREL's 2022 Annual Technology Baseline [41], while Fig. 5 projects capacity value through 2026 based on CPUC-sanctioned capacity credit and capacity price projections [56,77,78].…”

Section: Mid-term Outlook Through 2026mentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Mind the Gap: Comparing the Net Value of Geothermal, Wind, Solar, and Solar+Storage in the Western United States

Bolinger

Millstein²,

Gorman

et al. 2022

SSRN Journal

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Section: Historical Ppa Price Comparisonsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Historical Ppa Price Comparisonsmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Mind the Gap: Comparing the Net Value of Geothermal, Wind, Solar, and Solar+Storage in the Western United States

Bolinger

Millstein²,

Gorman

et al. 2022

SSRN Journal

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Assessing compounding climate-related stresses and development pathways on the power sector in the central U.S.

Gurgel,

Reilly,

Morris

et al. 2024

Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Future configurations of the power system in the central region of the USA are dependent on relative costs of alternative power generation technologies, energy and environmental policies, and multiple climate-induced stresses. Higher demand in the summer months combined with compounding supply shocks in several power generation technologies can potentially cause a “perfect storm” leading to failure of the power system. Potential future climate stress must be incorporated in investment decisions and energy system planning and operation. We assess how projected future climate impacts on the power system would affect alternative pathways for the electricity sector considering a broad range of generation technologies and changes in demand. We calculate a “potential supply gap” metric for each pathway, system component, and sub-region of the US Heartland due to climate-induced effects on electricity demand and power generation. Potential supply gaps range from 5% in the North Central region under mild changes in climate to 21% in the Lakes-Mid Atlantic region under more severe climate change. We find increases in electricity demand to be more important in determining the size of the potential supply gap than stresses on power generation, while larger shares of renewables in the power system contribute to lower supply gaps. Our results provide a first step toward considering systemic climate impacts that may require changes in managing the grid or on potential additional capacity/reserves that may be needed.

show abstract

Incorporating Ecosystem Services into Solar Energy Siting to Enhance Sustainable Energy Transitions

Gallaher,

Klionsky,

Chen

et al. 2024

Environ. Sci. Technol.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Solar energy is expected to play a large role in decarbonization of the energy sector globally. In the United States, solar energy is forecasted to generate roughly 45% of the electricity by 2050. Although solar energy mitigates the negative effects of climate change by providing electricity without releasing greenhouse gases, little is known about the implications of solar energy development for ecosystem services. In this study, we developed a spatially explicit, techno-ecological solar suitability model consisting of six scenarios designed to evaluate the trade-offs between ground-mounted solar energy generation and multiple ecosystem services. By incorporating solar suitability modeling with ecosystem service evaluation, we develop a method that provides a comprehensive understanding of potential techno-ecological trade-offs. To test our methodology, we used Connecticut (USA) as a study site for analyzing the potential trade-offs of future solar energy facilities, but the methods can be widely applied. Our results suggest that well-sited solar energy development can decrease sediment and nutrient export while offsetting carbon emissions from power plants. This study provides a holistic assessment of incorporating ecosystem services in future solar energy development decision-making and presents an approach for minimizing trade-offs and maximizing sustainable outcomes.

show abstract

2022 Annual Technology Baseline (ATB) Cost and Performance Data for Electricity Generation Technologies

Cited by 5 publications

References 0 publications

Mind the Gap: Comparing the Net Value of Geothermal, Wind, Solar, and Solar+Storage in the Western United States

Mind the Gap: Comparing the Net Value of Geothermal, Wind, Solar, and Solar+Storage in the Western United States

Assessing compounding climate-related stresses and development pathways on the power sector in the central U.S.

Incorporating Ecosystem Services into Solar Energy Siting to Enhance Sustainable Energy Transitions

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About