20th Century revolutions: characteristics, types, and waves

Гринин, Леонид; Гринин, Антон; Korotayev, Andrey

doi:10.1057/s41599-022-01120-9

Cited by 16 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 45 publications

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“…Because of this, the advancement of technology has an impact on everyone's daily activities as well as changes to all areas or sectors of human existence, including education [ 2 ]. With the introduction of new mass and private communication techniques at the beginning of the 20th century, a revolutionary type of education emerged [ 3 , 4 ]. It is known as distance learning, which occurs at a convenient time and in both close-by and remote physical sites [ 3 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

English as a foreign language students’ acceptance of Google Classroom in writing classes: A case study in Vietnam

Pham,

Nguyen

2024

Heliyon

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

English as a foreign language students’ acceptance of Google Classroom in writing classes: A case study in Vietnam

Pham,

Nguyen

2024

Heliyon

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“…And this destabilization can well be not only revolutionary, but also quasi-revolutionary and counterrevolutionary; it can well result in regime change—and not only in democratic, but also in authoritarian direction, as well as in general state breakdown. As a classical example, of such an inverted J-curve effect one may regard the Nazi revolution analogue, when the Nazis came to power in a quasi-revolutionary way against the background of dramatic economic decline that followed a few years of dynamic economic growth (see, for example, Grinin et al, 2022).…”

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Arab Spring, Its Aftermath, and James Davies’ Inverted J-Curve

Korotayev,

Shishkina

2023

Critical Sociology

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We would like to start our review of After the Arab Uprisings by sympathizing with its authors. In some respect, the book experienced a sort of bad luck almost immediately after it appeared. Indeed, Amazon site asserts that the monograph by Mako and Moghadam was published on the 22 July 2021, whereas just in 3 days, on the 25 July, Tunisia experienced a 'phase transition' in its authoritarian backslide, Kais Saied's coup (if not coupvolution 1 ), after which the Tunisian post-Arab Spring democratization could hardly be regarded as a success story anymore. But Mako and Moghadam had bet on it so much. It is constantly mentioned throughout the book just as a success story, and the book's conclusions rely too much on this qualification.The whole enterprise of the authors must have looked extremely risky from the very beginning. The problem was that they decided to use a very small sample that was especially problematic in view of their intent to apply to it some sort of qualitative comparative analysis using J.S. Mill's 'method of difference' (p. 22). The point is that this method requires a substantial variation of outcomes, whereas out of seven cases analyzed by Mako and Moghadam only one was characterized by an unequivocally positive outcome (Tunisia: 'Democratic transition'), one more outcome was somehow positive rather than unequivocally negative (Morocco: 'Constitutional reforms; stalled democratization'), whereas the rest five outcomes were negative (Syria and Yemen: 'Internationalized civil war'; Libya: 'Failed state'; Bahrain: 'Authoritarian survival'; and Egypt: 'Authoritarian reversal'; p. 219). With such a ratio of positive to negative cases the application of Mill's method of difference was rather problematic from the very beginning, but 25 July 2021 coupvolution in Tunisia put the conclusions produced by the authors by their qualitative comparative analysis of their sample cases (presented at pp. 219-220) into an especially serious doubt. Indeed, now the Tunisian outcome should be rather classified (together with the Egyptian one) as 'Authoritarian reversal'; and with one rather infirm positive outcome versus six negative outcomes any meaningful application of Mill's method of difference becomes rather problematic.

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Introduction. New Wave of Revolutions in the MENA Region in the Global Perspective

Issaev

Korotayev

2022

Perspectives on Development in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Region

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20th Century revolutions: characteristics, types, and waves

Cited by 16 publications

References 45 publications

English as a foreign language students’ acceptance of Google Classroom in writing classes: A case study in Vietnam

English as a foreign language students’ acceptance of Google Classroom in writing classes: A case study in Vietnam

Arab Spring, Its Aftermath, and James Davies’ Inverted J-Curve

Introduction. New Wave of Revolutions in the MENA Region in the Global Perspective

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