“…The defining characteristic of prior-day nowcast models is using FIB levels from the previous day (t−1) to predict bacteria levels for the current day ( t ). Models will also incorporate covariates or predictors to improve the accuracy of models, such as precipitation (Ackerman and Weisberg, 2003; Morrison et al., 2003), sunlight (Whitman et al., 2004), wind (Smith et al., 1999; Olyphant and Whitman, 2004), wave and tidal levels (Le Fevre and Lewis, 2003; Crowther et al., 2001), lake levels (Francy et al., 2009), turbidity (Olyphant et al., 2003), and density of humans and animals (Boehm et al., 2003; Reeves et al., 2004).…”