A Bad Break-Up? Assessing the Effects of the 2016 Brexit Referendum on Migration

Clifton-Sprigg, Joanna; Homburg, Ines; James, Jonathan; Vujic, Suncica

doi:10.2139/ssrn.4580845

SSRN Journal

2023

DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4580845

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A Bad Break-Up? Assessing the Effects of the 2016 Brexit Referendum on Migration

Joanna Clifton-Sprigg,

Ines Homburg,

Jonathan James

et al.

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2024

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Changing labour migration flows after Brexit: An analysis of UK survey and administrative data

Cusimano,

Donegani,

McKay

2024

European Journal of Industrial Relations

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Following ‘Brexit’, the UK leaving the EU, we analyse the effects of changes in the legal framework on EU residents and compare them with UK citizens, employing a difference-in-differences framework. The research focuses on several dependent variables, including labour supply and wages, self-employment rates, and changes in industry, using the Annual Population Survey (APS) data 2012−2022 in the UK (itself based on the Labour Force Survey (LFS)), National Insurance Number registrations, and visas issued. The evidence from our analysis on EU post-Brexit migration towards the UK, together with the observed overall increase in rates of (non-EU) net migration, shows rebalancing between EU and non-EU groups. Effects are strongest at the lower-skilled end of the labour market. However, wages for UK natives and EU migrants did not change with respect to each other, controlling for occupation, industry, and other factors.

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Changing labour migration flows after Brexit: An analysis of UK survey and administrative data

Cusimano,

Donegani,

McKay

2024

European Journal of Industrial Relations

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

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A Bad Break-Up? Assessing the Effects of the 2016 Brexit Referendum on Migration

Cited by 1 publication

References 39 publications

Changing labour migration flows after Brexit: An analysis of UK survey and administrative data

Changing labour migration flows after Brexit: An analysis of UK survey and administrative data

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