2021
DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stab3108
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A birth-death-migration model for life in astrophysical environments

Abstract: To assess the number of life-bearing worlds in astrophysical environments, it is necessary to take the intertwined processes of abiogenesis (birth), extinction (death), and transfer of life (migration) into account. We construct a mathematical model that incorporates this trio of mechanisms and accordingly derive the probability distribution function and other statistical properties (e.g. mean) for the number of worlds with biospheres. We show that a given astrophysical setting may become eventually saturated … Show more

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Cited by 7 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…We caution, however, that our analysis does not rule out the prospects for surficial life altogether owing to the uncertainties and caveats involved, some of which were encountered previously and others are delineated hereafter. Furthermore, the AGN phase is primarily operational over the Salpeter timescale, due to which life might be able to emerge and diversify on the surface -perhaps by migrating from the subsur-face or from other worlds (Chen et al 2018;Ginsburg et al 2018;Lingam et al 2022) -once this phase has ceased.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We caution, however, that our analysis does not rule out the prospects for surficial life altogether owing to the uncertainties and caveats involved, some of which were encountered previously and others are delineated hereafter. Furthermore, the AGN phase is primarily operational over the Salpeter timescale, due to which life might be able to emerge and diversify on the surface -perhaps by migrating from the subsur-face or from other worlds (Chen et al 2018;Ginsburg et al 2018;Lingam et al 2022) -once this phase has ceased.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…If the question is posed purely in terms of nontechnological life, then the answer would appear to be "no", unless interstellar transport of life is highly effective (e.g. Crick & Orgel 1973;Napier 2004;Grimaldi et al 2021;Lingam et al 2022). In addition, however, N (bio) should include biosignatures stemming from biospheres that have been purposely engineered for habitation, for example, planets which have been "terraformed".…”
Section: Abundancementioning
confidence: 99%