A Categorical Model for Airport Capacity Estimation Using Hierarchical Clustering

Abstract

Motivated by the need for very inexpensive, easily updated, first-order-accurate estimates of airport capacity required in system-wide analyses, we propose a novel approach to generate a predictive categorical model. The underlying hypothesis tested in this work is that for the same weather conditions airports with a similar runway configuration and fleet mix will have similar capacities. Accordingly, if airport categories with known capacity are defined a-priori on the basis of similarity in fleet mix and runway configuration, then a membership function to the set of categories essentially constitutes a predictive model. We test this hypothesis by formulating and implementing such a model in order to examine its feasibility and discuss key practical considerations.