The depletion of the grey mullet population in the Taiwan Strait has generated interest in conservation initiatives and to enhance the effectiveness of restoration initiatives, it is essential to comprehend the specific habitat preferences of the species in question, particularly in relation to environmental changes. In this study, habitat suitability modelling was used to investigate the distribution patterns of grey mullet. Sea surface height (SSH) was the most significant predictor of the grey mullet standardized catch per unit effort (S.CPUE). Furthermore, sea surface temperature (SST) was the second most important oceanographic parameter, followed by mixed-layer depth (MLD). The grey mullet S.CPUE peaked in regions with the summed SST, Chla, salinity, SSH, MLD and current values being 20 °C, 0.9 mg/m3, 34.5 psu, 0.45 m, 18–38 m, and 0.25 m2/s2, respectively. From late October, HSI levels in the northern Taiwan ocean increased, with a consistent upward trend. The distribution expanded in November and December, focusing on the northern and mid-ocean regions west of Taiwan. HSI levels peak in January and February, especially in Taiwan’s coastal region. High HSI distribution shifts away from coastlines and diminishes in April. The findings of this study will contribute to the understanding of this specific species and the approach used in this study may be applicable to other fisheries stocks also.