A comparative analysis of population ageing in urban and rural areas of England and Wales, and Poland over the last three census intervals

Walford, Nigel; Kurek, Sławomir

doi:10.1002/psp.488

Cited by 36 publications

(35 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…At the regional and local level, there are pronounced differences in population ageing which result from a combination of two distinct but intertwined transitions, namely the change of fertility behaviour and the emergence of a modern market economy, the impact of which differs across regions. This research, which in part is based on previous findings (Walford and Kurek 2008;D¬ugosz and Kurek 2009;Kurek 2009), adds to the literature by offering a perspective on future regional change with respect to population ageing and a methodology to match. As such, it helps us identify areas particularly vulnerable to the advancement of the process of ageing.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 94%

“…Similarly, as has been noted in the geographical literature on various aspects of ageing, changes in the age composition are not uniform across the territory of individual countries (e.g., Riley et al 1983;Warnes 1994;Moore and Rosenberg 2001;Andrews and Phillips 2005;Walford and Kurek 2008). Rural areas are particularly susceptible to such change, and the more peripheral the more vulnerable to the implications of ageing.…”

Section: The Sub-national Dimensionmentioning

confidence: 87%

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Double transitions? regional patterns of population ageing in poland

Kurek

2011

Geografiska Annaler: Series B, Human Geography

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The number and geographical distribution of the aged, and how the distribution changes over time, have captured the attention of geographical gerontologists; the complexity and spatially differentiated nature of ageing is of considerable practical and theoretical import. This article seeks to link the traditional concerns of population geography to the social and spatial relations between old people, their health and places of residence and care. It does presuppose, however, that patterns and processes at the sub-national level are also taken into account. Therefore, the aim of the article is to identify the aged and the localities or regions where they reside, within the particular context of a Polish postsocialist society that has recently become integrated into the European mainstream. As such it is potentially subject to a double transition, where the political and economic changes cross path with the second demographic transition. To identify interrelationships between ageing and post-socialist transition, areas vulnerable to ageing are defined using ageing indices. Projections of the share of elderly up to 2030, based on a component cohort method, are made with a view to identifying future change in the spatial patterns of ageing. Regional patterns of ageing are presented in social, political or economic context, to show their relation to the structural changes that societies such as Poland have been passing through during the period of transition to democracy and a market economy or are likely to go through in the near future.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 94%

Section: The Sub-national Dimensionmentioning

confidence: 87%

Double transitions? regional patterns of population ageing in poland

Kurek

2011

Geografiska Annaler: Series B, Human Geography

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“…With regard to demographic change, qualitative knowledge was supplemented with quantitative data, as with, for example, the data for the age dependency ratio (inhabitants aged 65 and over/inhabitants aged 15–64; ratio of older people per 100 persons of working age). These quantitative data were used because of data availability and because population ageing is generally regarded as the dominant demographic process in Europe since 2000 (Walford and Kurek, 2008). Moreover, the age dependency ratio is one of the most widely used indicators of ageing (Kabisch et al ., 2008) and dependency burden (Bongaarts, 1998).…”

Section: Methodological Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…On the other hand, it becomes clear that demographic change accompanies more flexible lifestyles and is also not restricted to growing or declining cities. In addition to household structure change, ageing is a distinct phenomenon of demographic change (Walford and Kurek, 2008). The declining cities both in Poland and the UK show the highest values for demographic age dependency.…”

Section: Polish and Uk Case Studies: Identification Of Urban Populatimentioning

confidence: 99%

Urban Population Development in Europe, 1991–2008: The Examples of Poland and the UK

Kabisch

Haase

2012

Int J Urban Regional Res

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Across Europe, there is a complex mosaic of urban population development. Characterized by great diversity and heterogeneity, this development does not follow a common pattern and cannot be attributed to specific regional trends (e.g. Eastern or Western European geographic location, or post‐socialist, old industrial or developed capitalist economic models). In this article, we show how this mosaic can be explained, relating it to various driving forces and overarching processes. Using a multilevel approach and looking at the period 1991–2008, we identified various European city population growth or decline clusters; these indicated that urban population development does not necessarily follow strictly national lines. Further, we argue that similar clusters of growing and declining cities may occur within European countries as diverse as Poland and the UK. Overarching driving forces such as demographic change interfere with national specificity and the peculiarities of local settings. The most significant finding of this article is that overlapping driving forces currently lead in their interplay to diverging courses of urban population development on different spatial scales (and will probably continue to do so in future). Résumé L'évolution de la population urbaine en Europe se présente comme une mosaïque complexe. Caractérisée par une diversité et une hétérogénéitéélevées, elle n'obéit à aucun schéma commun et ne peut être attribuée à aucune tendance régionale précise (comme la situation géographique en Europe de l'Est ou de l'Ouest, ou bien les modèles économiques post‐socialistes, industriels anciens ou capitalistes développés). Il est possible d'expliquer cette mosaïque en la reliant à divers facteurs moteurs et processus dominants. Une approche à plusieurs niveaux et l'étude de la période 1991–2008 permettent d'identifier différents pôles de croissance et de déclin de la population dans les villes européennes. Ceux‐ci indiquent que la population urbaine ne suit pas forcément les tendances nationales. En outre, des pôles similaires de villes en croissance et en déclin peuvent exister dans des pays aussi distincts que la Pologne et le Royaume‐Uni. Les dynamiques dominantes, telles que les changements démographiques, interfèrent avec la spécificité nationale et les particularités des contextes locaux. La conclusion la plus importante de ce travail est que ces dynamiques superposées viennent se conjuguer pour créer, selon l'échelon spatial, des trajectoires distinctes d'évolution de la population urbaine (ce qu'elles continueront sans doute de faire à l'avenir).

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“…Declining birth rates and increased life expectancy, the latter due to medical advances have meant that people aged over 65 years are the dominant demographic in many industrial countries (Farage et al, 2012; Houses of the Oireachtas, 2012; Walford & Kurek, 2008). It is predicted that the number of people aged over 60 years will continually increase, thus, there will be more adults over 65 than children aged 0-15 in the global population (WHO, 2007).…”

Section: Demographic Changesmentioning

confidence: 99%