2004
DOI: 10.1007/s00521-004-0401-8
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A comparison of linear and neural network ARX models applied to a prediction of the indoor temperature of a building

Abstract: A neural network auto regressive with exogenous input (NNARX) model is used to predict the indoor temperature of a residential building. Firstly, the optimal regressor of a linear ARX model is identified by minimising Akaike's final prediction error (FPE). This regressor is then used as the input vector of a fully connected feedforward neural network with one hidden layer of ten units and one output unit. Results show that the NNARX model outperforms the linear model considerably: the sum of the squared error … Show more

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Cited by 87 publications
(8 citation statements)
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“…2. There have been studies regarding an ANN-based NARX model, but a model generation guide or performance comparison between structures had not been given [11]- [13]. In this research, the performance of various feedforward neural network (FNN) structures are compared to each other in a statistic way, and model generation steps are suggested based on the results.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…2. There have been studies regarding an ANN-based NARX model, but a model generation guide or performance comparison between structures had not been given [11]- [13]. In this research, the performance of various feedforward neural network (FNN) structures are compared to each other in a statistic way, and model generation steps are suggested based on the results.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To overcome this problem, several approaches have been employed to identify simplified building models which can be used in the MPC framework. A number of articles discuss the use of resistance-capacitance (RC) network models [8], data-driven methods such as neural network models [9], or the identification of linear state-space models based on data obtained from detailed simulation software [10]. Although these models are convenient for MPC implementation, they may be inaccurate when the operating conditions deviate from those used during the identification process.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Ben-Nakhi and Mahmood (2004) used ANN to investigate the feasibility of this technology to optimize HVAC thermal energy storage in public and office buildings. Indoor temperature of a residential building was predicted with auto regressive with exogenous input neural networks in a research by Mechaqrane and Zouak (2004). Aydinalp et al (2004) used an ANN method to model residential energy consumption.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%