A comprehensive review of Turkish technology foresight project

Daim, Tuğrul U.; Başoğlu, Nuri; Dursun, Orhan; Sarıtas, Ozcan; Gerdsri, Pisek

doi:10.1108/14636680910936422

Cited by 12 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 29 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Up to this point, much of the forwardfocused planning involved government or military needs. Employees at the RAND Corporation and Hudson Institute conducted projects to help large corporations and government agencies adjust their technological investments based on anticipated future needs [11].…”

Section: Review Of the Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

What corporations do with foresight

Hammoud

Nash²

2014

Eur J Futures Res

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Foresight involves future-oriented awareness and planning, enabling businesses to respond quickly and effectively to future market threats and opportunities. However, knowledge about corporate foresight practices and outcomes is limited. Corporations interested in implementing foresight are unable to identify best practices or anticipate results from foresight activities. Therefore, this qualitative, multiple holistic case study was a foundational investigation of foresight phenomenon within contemporary American corporations. A convenience sample of 14 foresight practitioners represented American corporations or American divisions of European corporations actively using foresight. Interview queries aligned with the guiding research questions explored corporate foresight methods and outcomes. Interview data were coded and synthesized for thematic report of common and unique responses; this documented practices used in and outcomes derived from corporate foresight. Foresight practitioners revealed specific actions taken by corporations in response to foresight outcomes. Actions included organizational changes, introduction of new products or product variations, new research and development projects, and inclusion of foresight project outputs such as reports, presentations, recommendations, in departmental plans. The findings suggested standardization of terminology for professional discourse, education, and practice, would benefit practitioners and corporations. Four tenets emerging from the themes were short-termism, corporate culture, implementation, and feedback loop; these tenets should guide future use of foresight in the context of for-profit corporations.

show abstract

Section: Review Of the Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

What corporations do with foresight

Hammoud

Nash²

2014

Eur J Futures Res

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The main lessons-learned were that the process design was the key to success and that the deployment of methods and the engagement of participants were fit-for-purpose. The other salient points were the design of the process to provide information flow from thematic to sectoral panels, the train of panelists addressing their needs, providing diversity and balance between participants, increasing communication between panels and keeping a balance between technology-market-economy (Saritas et al, 2007;Daim et al, 2009;Dursun et al, 2011;Saritas, 2013).…”

Section: Evaluation Studies On Vision 2023 Technology Foresightmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact assessment of Vision 2023 defense technology foresight

Burhan

Çakır

2021

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to provide information about the long-term ex-post impacts of Vision 2023 technology foresight (TF) on the defense sector and to identify critical success factors (CSFs) of impactful foresight. Design/methodology/approach In the present research, a theory-based evaluation approach was adopted with the logic-model of defense TF to identify the intended outcomes, impacts and leading mechanisms. The impact assessment framework developed by Johnston, R. (2012) was adopted to identify (un)intended impacts and possible measures. Findings TF had some effects on technological developments, foresight capacity and capability and skills on the sector. The overall impact was assessed at the “some contribution” level with 2.9 out of 5.0 points. It contributed to the development of science technology and innovation (STI) policies and research and development programs, awareness-raising in STI, increase in cooperation between government-university-industry and the development of foresight culture. However, the impacts were more visible in the early years of TF. Additionally, country/sector-specific CSFs were identified. In consequence, it was proposed to measure the maturity of strategic technologies with technology readiness level as a tangible indicator. Originality/value According to the authors, this is the first study to assess the long-term ex-post impact of TF in defense. An instrument was developed to assess TF’s contribution to impact measures. The constructs and weights of the instrument differentiated from the adopted framework/schema reflecting the national/sectoral context of TF. Additionally, the study revealed country/sector-specific CSFs and new tangible impact measures.

show abstract

“…For the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO, 2005), the aim of TF is to identify emerging generic technologies that can produce the greatest economic and social benefits. Daim et al (2009) argue that TF exercises seek to encourage better decisions, facilitate future thinking and prepare for scientific and technological changes. Miles (2008) links TF with decision-making in organizations, mainly in those organizations where scientific and technological activities apply to its development.…”

Section: Technological Foresight and Forecastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Technological foresight as support for the planning of research and development centers: the case of EI-UNAM

Castillo-Camarena¹,

López-Ortega²

2021

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Purpose This study aims to present a method to carry out technological foresight exercises in university technological research and development centers (TRDCs). The results support the organizational planning process. Design/methodology/approach The authors review the literature on the frameworks of foresight. The authors propose the use of quantitative (bibliometrics) and qualitative (expert meeting, Delphi) techniques. The authors apply this method to each research topic of interest of the TRDCs. Findings The application of the method to a research topic allows us to analyze the relevant knowledge areas for the development of that topic and its global trend. For each area, the authors identify the specific lines of research with the greatest growth and relevance. Considering these lines, the authors make a diagnosis of the TRDC situation regarding how to provide knowledge to decision-makers. Research limitations/implications The paper reviews the results of the application in the Engineering Institute of the National Autonomous University of Mexico and in the research topic “Seismic risks in civil engineering.” It is necessary to adjust the application of the method in other TRDCs to the conditions of the organization and to the development achieved by the TRDCs in the analyzed research topic. Originality/value There is no detailed literature on technological foresight exercises in university TRDCs that support the planning process of the organization. The method represents a proposal to establish priority research topics and specific research lines in research institutes, particularly universities. The authors present the application in a university TRDCs in Mexico.

show abstract

A comprehensive review of Turkish technology foresight project

Cited by 12 publications

References 29 publications

What corporations do with foresight

What corporations do with foresight

Impact assessment of Vision 2023 defense technology foresight

Technological foresight as support for the planning of research and development centers: the case of EI-UNAM

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About