A Critical Review of Mass Media and Non-Academic Reports Forecasts of the Economic Effects of COVID-19 within the Frame of Crisis Management

Simons, Greg

doi:10.1134/s1075700721040146

Cited by 2 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 22 publications

(40 reference statements)

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“…Negative effects are set to −3, −2, −1, and combined addition operations are performed on each level of the seven factors to obtain 2187 rules with the range [−1, 13]. The value range is [−1, 3], the UI value is 1, and there are 274 items; the value field is [4,8], the UI value is 2, and there are 1639 items; and the value field is [9,13], the UI value is 3, and there are 274 items. We establish the following rule matrix:…”

Section: Membership Functions For Input and Output Parametersmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The URI is medium when the value domain is [4,8]; there are 1639 "if-then" fuzzy rules in this range. The URI is high when the value domain is [9,13]; there are 274 "if-then" fuzzy rules in this range. Through the aggregation and defuzzification of the obtained results, the corresponding value of the URI in each city is obtained.…”

Section: Membership Functions For Input and Output Parametersmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Until 1 November 2021, the cumulative number of CCN was 97,314, the cumulative recovery number was 91,766, and the cumulative mortality number was 4636; see Figure 1. COVID-19 has had a huge impact on the economic activities [9], production and peoples' daily lives [10] around the world. From the perspective of external international influence, the impact of COVID-19 on China's economy has shown a glide in international trade, cross-border tourism and other industries in the short term [11], and it has strengthened risk aversion in the short-term market as well [8].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Urban Resilience of Important Node Cities in Population Migration under the Influence of COVID-19 Based on Mamdani Fuzzy Inference System

Wang,

Yang

et al. 2023

Sustainability

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COVID-19 has resulted in a great inconvenience and has had a severe impact on the economy and residents’ daily life in China and even the world. Urban resilience, as the key representation of social and economic stability, can directly reflect the development and stability of cities. In addition, the Mamdani fuzzy inference system (MFIS), as one of the commonly used fuzzy inference systems, has been successfully applied in various application problems involving imprecise or vague information since it was proposed. In this paper, we mainly consider the urban resilience of 50 important node cities for population migration (50INCPM) in China in 2020 under the influence of COVID-19. We apply MFIS for approximating the urban resilience index (URI) based on multiple inputs, which includes the population density resilience index (PRI), gross domestic product per capita resilience index (GRI), in-degree centrality resilience index (IRI), out-degree centrality resilience index (ORI), confirmed cases number (CCN), recovery rate (RR) and mortality rate (MR). Meanwhile, based on the big data of population migration and COVID-19 data in China from 15 January to 15 March in 2020, we calculate the URI of 50INCPM in China in 2020 under the influence of COVID-19. Moreover, we show the spatial difference of URI and its changes in different stages. The results show that (1) the URI of 50INCPM decreases from the eastern coastal area to the western inland, and the cities with URI more than 0.5 are gathered in the eastern coastal area of China. As COVID-19 is controlled, the URI is gradually rising, and the growth rate of URI in southeast coastal cities exceeds that of inland cities. (2) The second-tier and third-tier cities have stronger resilience in the case of large-scale emergencies. (3) There exists a positive correlation in URI and RR. The expectation of the research finding gives a basis for judging the economic and social situation under the impact of COVID-19, which can help local governments accurately judge city resilience, and provide a reference for the decision on resuming production and work, so it is of positive significance for national economic resilience and social stability. Finally, on the basis of universal vaccine coverage, we hold that the GOC should promote the cities’ resilience in China, especially in the first-tier city in inland China (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen). On the other hand, on the premise of implementing epidemic prevention and control measures, local governments should stimulate the resilience of each city in terms of population and economy.

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Section: Membership Functions For Input and Output Parametersmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Membership Functions For Input and Output Parametersmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Urban Resilience of Important Node Cities in Population Migration under the Influence of COVID-19 Based on Mamdani Fuzzy Inference System

Wang,

Yang

et al. 2023

Sustainability

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Knocking Down the Pillars of Democracy in Europe: Politicisation of Science and Law in Response During COVID-19

Simons

2024

Acta Prosperitatis

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The European Parliament has stressed on numerous occasions in public documents and speeches its non-conditional support for the principles of democracy, the rule of law, good governance, respect for human rights and fundamental freedoms. Yet as the pandemic has developed these principles have not been defended by various member states of the EU, being traded for public health and public good. This presentation seeks to critically analyse the content of key rhetoric and narratives from the outbreak of the pandemic until the present time through public statements that shall be contrasted against the “unconditional principles” above within the theoretical frame of Situational Crisis Communication Theory. Attention shall be paid to key political officials and understand the role of mainstream mass media and social media as gatekeepers of the orthodoxy of knowledge established. Orthodoxy of knowledge is group consensus on defining and constructing ‘realities’ in the physical realm, even when the consensus is coerced. Given the increasing lack of scientific debate, which is a fundamental element of good scientific practice, and the use of heavy handed and largely unsuccessful responses to the virus (such as lockdowns, vax passports and vaccination campaigns), Europe (not only) is in a precarious position in terms of its societal principles and practice. Crisis management is expediently rushed through face of fear and time constraint based upon a lack of consideration for the consequences and long-term effects, some of which are already emerging but being silenced. Hence a creeping crisis of significant psychological and physical impact is in the making.

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A Critical Review of Mass Media and Non-Academic Reports Forecasts of the Economic Effects of COVID-19 within the Frame of Crisis Management

Cited by 2 publications

References 22 publications

Urban Resilience of Important Node Cities in Population Migration under the Influence of COVID-19 Based on Mamdani Fuzzy Inference System

Urban Resilience of Important Node Cities in Population Migration under the Influence of COVID-19 Based on Mamdani Fuzzy Inference System

Knocking Down the Pillars of Democracy in Europe: Politicisation of Science and Law in Response During COVID-19

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