Aims: To develop a predictive model for Vibrio cholerae in sea water. Methods and Results: The growth curves of V. cholerae NE-9 at different temperatures (range from 10 to 30°C) and chemical oxygen demand (COD) concentration (range from 5 to 40 mg l À1 ) were determined. The modified logistic model and Baranyi model were chosen to regress the growth curves. A new method for modelling effects of temperature and COD on the specific growth rate (l) was successfully developed by a combination of modified square root-type equation and saturation growth rate model. The coefficient of determination (R 2 ), bias factor (Bf) and accuracy factor (Af) were taken to assess the performance of the established model. Logistic model produced a good fit to the observed data (R 2 = 0Á952). However, the Baranyi model provided biologically plausible parameter estimates. The overall predictions for V. cholerae NE-9 growth agreed well with observed plate counts, and the average R 2 , Bf and Af values were 0Á967, 1Á198 and 1Á201, respectively. Conclusion: The predicted model agreed well with observed data, and the result can be applied for the prediction of V. cholerae in actual environments. Significance and Impact of the Study: The results of this study provide the basis for the prediction of V. cholerae in sea water.