A decision loop for situation risk assessment under uncertainty: A case study of a gas facility

Simohammed, Antar; Smail, Rachid

doi:10.1016/j.petlm.2021.01.004

Cited by 4 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 24 publications

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“…Generally, the qualitative attributes are assessed using human judgement, which has the weakness of being subjective and often associated with uncertainties as a result of ignorance, incomplete information and fuzziness. Therefore, decisions may not be properly made without fully considering all the related attributes whilst quantifying their uncertainties (Mokhtari, 2011;Grenyer et al, 2021;Simohammed & Smail, 2021).…”

Section: Risk Based Decision Supportmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Several studies present MCDM models to aid decision-making for pipeline systems (Loganathan et al, 2021;Hasan, 2016;El-Abbasy et al, 2015;Dawotola et al, 2012;Mosleh et al, 2016) with others for safety synthesis and evaluation (Grenyer et al, 2021;Simohammed & Smail, 2021;Wang et al, 1996;Boral et al, 2021;Hu et al, 2020;Zarei et al, 2021). Loganathan et al (2021) used Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) to support inspection and monitoring decisions for large diameter pipes.…”

Section: Risk Based Decision Supportmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

A Decision-Support System for Assessing Cross-Country Pipeline Systems: Approach Based on Evidential Reasoning and Cost–Benefit Analysis

Hassan¹,

Kontovas

Bashir

et al. 2023

J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract.

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This paper outlines a decision support model based on Evidential Reasoning (ER) and Cost-Benefit-Analysis (CBA) to support the assessment of risk control measures for pipeline loss of containment following third party damage. The model identifies the main Risk Control Options (RCOs) as basic attributes, which are grouped into three categories: technical or technological, governmental and managerial solutions. The CBA examines the costs associated with the loss of containment in regard to human safety, the economic and environmental aspects that are required to reduce or eliminate the threat of using RCOs. ER is chosen because of its capability in dealing with Multiple Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) problems with uncertainties, aggregation of conflicting information and the hybrid nature of the information. This corresponds with the challenges of analysing different and often conflicting information identified in this study. The results show the attributes of each decision, their effectiveness in reducing the failure likelihood and the estimated cost of each attribute. The study reduces the complexity of the decision-making into a simple hierarchical output and provide guidance to the infrastructure operator. This makes it possible for the operator to select one or more risk reduction attributes and immediately see a potential reduction in the failure likelihood. Furthermore, the study provides knowledge to the operator on budgetary expenditure required to implement the RCO.

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Section: Risk Based Decision Supportmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Risk Based Decision Supportmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Decision-Support System for Assessing Cross-Country Pipeline Systems: Approach Based on Evidential Reasoning and Cost–Benefit Analysis

Hassan¹,

Kontovas

Bashir

et al. 2023

J. Pipeline Syst. Eng. Pract.

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“…John Boyd proposed it, and successfully applied it in the military field [13]. In recent years, the OODA model has been widely used in nonmilitary fields [14][15][16][17][18]. The fundamental idea is to make accurate decisions and fast execution through observation and judgment.…”

Section: Ooda Model For Port Epidemic Prevention and Controlmentioning

confidence: 99%

OODA model study of port epidemic transmission process and emergency prevention and control

Zhou

Ma²,

Sun³

2022

International Conference on Frontiers of Traffic and Transportation Engineering (FTTE 2022)

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COVID-19 is highly efficient for port operation, and it is crucial to improve the port epidemic's emergency prevention and control capability. Therefore, according to the port operation process, the process of epidemic transmission in the port is analyzed, and the relationship map of port epidemic transmission is clarified; then, with the help of OODA theory, the OODA model of port epidemic emergency prevention and control is constructed. Through the analysis of the model operation cycle process, this paper summarizes the advantages of the model in port epidemic prevention and control. OODA port emergency prevention and control model can better improve the ability and efficiency of port epidemic emergency prevention and control.

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“…According to Laughery and Wogalter [53], three criteria must be considered when prioritizing warnings: likelihood, severity, and practicality. The Texaco Refinery explosion was attributed to several factors, including poor alarm management design and prioritization [54]. During the 11 minutes leading up to the Texaco Refinery explosion, there were 275 active alarms present, with 87% of the active alarms considered a high priority [54,55].…”

Section: Alarms and Warningsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The Texaco Refinery explosion was attributed to several factors, including poor alarm management design and prioritization [54]. During the 11 minutes leading up to the Texaco Refinery explosion, there were 275 active alarms present, with 87% of the active alarms considered a high priority [54,55]. The Engineering Equipment and Materials Users Association (EEMUA) [56]recommends that only 5% of alarms be regarded as high priority, 15% medium, and the remaining 80% of a system's alarms should be reserved for low priority alarms.…”

Section: Alarms and Warningsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Human Factors Considerations in Satellite Operations Human-Computer Interaction Technologies: A Review of Current Applications and Theory

Heinrich¹,

McAndrew²,

Pretty³

2021

IJMIT

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Satellite operations are a subset of remote operations that draw similarities with remotely piloted aircraft (RPA) and uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) operations. Increased research into boredom, complacency, habituation, and vigilance as they relate to satellite operations is required due to a lack of prevalence in the literature. Circadian rhythms, crew resource management, and shift work dynamics may exacerbate complacency-driven automation bias and social loafing errors in satellite operations. This overview of theory and applications aims to specifically focus on satellite operations literature within human factors research to identify areas requiring an expansion of knowledge. The human-in-the-loop commonality enables human factors lessons to be passed to satellite operations from unrelated sectors to mitigate catastrophic human error potentially. As such, this literature review details the need for increased research in satellite operations human factors.

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A decision loop for situation risk assessment under uncertainty: A case study of a gas facility

Cited by 4 publications

References 24 publications

A Decision-Support System for Assessing Cross-Country Pipeline Systems: Approach Based on Evidential Reasoning and Cost–Benefit Analysis

A Decision-Support System for Assessing Cross-Country Pipeline Systems: Approach Based on Evidential Reasoning and Cost–Benefit Analysis

OODA model study of port epidemic transmission process and emergency prevention and control

Human Factors Considerations in Satellite Operations Human-Computer Interaction Technologies: A Review of Current Applications and Theory

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