1999
DOI: 10.1017/s1068280500008145
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A Game Theoretic Analysis of Turkish Accession to a European Customs Union

Abstract: The entrance of additional countries into a European customs union, in this case Turkey, and its impact on agriculture are examined. Results from a trade simulation model are used as components of a Political Preference Function and utilized within a game theoretic framework to identify the optimal strategies for Turkey, the EU, and the U.S. Turkey's best interest, from an agricultural perspective, involves adoption of agreements made in the Uruguay round of GATT as a developing country rather than applying EU… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…We follow Johnson et al (1993), Rutström (1995), Kennedy et al (1996), and Kennedy and Atici (1999) by modeling the political process in two stages, with the outcome of the first stage described by an exogenously given PPF, and the second stage as a cooperative or noncooperative game. Based on the clearinghouse approach, we characterize country i 's government objective functions by 3 where U i,N is the welfare of non‐farmers and δ > 0 is the political weight of farmers relative to non‐farmers 4 .…”
Section: Theoretical Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We follow Johnson et al (1993), Rutström (1995), Kennedy et al (1996), and Kennedy and Atici (1999) by modeling the political process in two stages, with the outcome of the first stage described by an exogenously given PPF, and the second stage as a cooperative or noncooperative game. Based on the clearinghouse approach, we characterize country i 's government objective functions by 3 where U i,N is the welfare of non‐farmers and δ > 0 is the political weight of farmers relative to non‐farmers 4 .…”
Section: Theoretical Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In addition, to estimate these weights, the number of policy instruments must equal the number of interest group preference weights so that the resulting matrix of first order conditions of full rank (Bullock, 1994). By construction, this is always possible since the producer and consumer groups can be defined in finer subgroups such that rank is always obtained (Kennedy and Atici, 1999). These weights for five producer groups and consumers were calculated for both EU and US from 1980 to 2000 in five-year intervals.…”
Section: Calculations Of Weightsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The model distinguishes between the EU, the US, and a politically passive rest of the world. In an extended version of the similar study, Kennedy and Atici (1999) examined the entrance of additional countries into the EU utilizing the results of a trade simulation model as components of a PPF. Ndayisenga and Kinsey (1995) incorporated lobbying efforts into a microeconomic model of profit maximizing farmer utilizing the producer subsidy equivalents.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, the idea that developing countries may benefit from protectionism, as indicated by the new trade theories, is also criticized (Alam, 1995). In some countries, many traditional commodities are highly protected, and the elimination of trade barriers might cause serious problems for the majority of producers in those sectors (Kennedy and Atici, 1999). In addition, a lack of antitrust policies and import-substitution structures are factors that harm trade.…”
Section: Equitymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…With liberalization, some overly protected sectors may be harmed, causing the inequalities in agriculture itself to increase. In some countries, many traditional commodities are highly protected, and the elimination of trade barriers might cause serious problems for the majority of producers in those sectors (Kennedy and Atici, 1999). In this case, sector-specific transfers such as income support targeting farmers could be implemented.…”
Section: Equitymentioning
confidence: 99%