2006
DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2005.05.002
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A general equilibrium analysis of climate change impacts on tourism

Abstract: This paper studies the economic implications of climate-change-induced variations in tourism demand, using a world CGE model. The model is first re-calibrated at some future years, obtaining hypothetical benchmark equilibria, which are subsequently perturbed by shocks, simulating the effects of climate change. We portray the impact of climate change on tourism by means of two sets of shocks, occurring simultaneously. The first shocks translate predicted variations in tourist flows into changes of consumption p… Show more

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Cited by 232 publications
(106 citation statements)
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“…The study also showed other aspects of our lives and the importance of the tourism industry and the services sector will be affected by the direct impact of this factor and also that tourism has implications across the economy, as consistent with (Berrittella et al, 2006). As results of the study showed for the third hypothesis is that there is no statistically significant differences were attributed (99%) was accepted, this shows through the results that tourism development has provided the city of Aqaba, advanced and prosperous that he was in the area of service delivery or availability.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 81%
“…The study also showed other aspects of our lives and the importance of the tourism industry and the services sector will be affected by the direct impact of this factor and also that tourism has implications across the economy, as consistent with (Berrittella et al, 2006). As results of the study showed for the third hypothesis is that there is no statistically significant differences were attributed (99%) was accepted, this shows through the results that tourism development has provided the city of Aqaba, advanced and prosperous that he was in the area of service delivery or availability.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 81%
“…Originally developed at the end of 1960s to assess the economic consequences of international and public sector policies, CGE models have been increasingly applied since the end of the 1990s to economically assess environmental impacts, particularly those associated with climate change. CGE models have been applied to various sectors such as agriculture (Tsigas, Frisvold, & Kuhn, 1997), tourism (Berrittella, Bigano, Roson, & Tol, 2006) Pimentel et al (1995) Severe soil erosion by water (rates of higher than 17 t ha −1 year −1 ) can cause a crop productivity loss of 8% annually.…”
Section: Higher Order Costs: Using a Computable General Equilibriummentioning
confidence: 99%
“…elasticities). We are aware of only one attempt (Berrittella, Bigano, Roson & Tol, 2006) to model tourism within a global CGE model.…”
Section: Modelling Approachmentioning
confidence: 99%