2017
DOI: 10.1111/fire.12128
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A Generalized Earnings‐Based Stock Valuation Model with Learning

Abstract: We present a stock valuation model in an incomplete‐information environment in which the unobservable mean of earnings growth rate (MEGR) is learned and price is updated continuously. We calibrate our model to a market portfolio to empirically evaluate its performance. Of the 8.84% total risk premium we estimate, the earnings growth premium is 4.57%, the short‐rate risk contributes 3.38%, and the learning‐induced risk premium on the unknown MEGR is 0.89% (a nontrivial 10% of the total risk premium). This resul… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
(2 citation statements)
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References 82 publications
(117 reference statements)
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“…More specifically, we examine whether the market is willing to pay a premium to buy a company's stock with strong ESG records. Among investment valuation ratios, the price-to-earnings ratio (PER) is a widely-used measure of the expected performance of companies, and it is arguably the most well-known method to assess how expensive the stock of a company is, relative to the amount of earnings it generates [9]. One interpretation of PER is the measure of how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings the company generates.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…More specifically, we examine whether the market is willing to pay a premium to buy a company's stock with strong ESG records. Among investment valuation ratios, the price-to-earnings ratio (PER) is a widely-used measure of the expected performance of companies, and it is arguably the most well-known method to assess how expensive the stock of a company is, relative to the amount of earnings it generates [9]. One interpretation of PER is the measure of how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings the company generates.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Efforts to integrate stochastic interest rates into the framework of firm valuation date back, at least, to Bogue and Roll (1974) and have been intensified in recent years. Examples include the papers of Berk et al (1999), Bakshi and Chen (2005), Dong and Hirshleifer (2005) and Jacoby et al (2017). Moreover, current work on evaluating investments with long-term consequences focuses on the effects of stochastic interest rates (Gollier and Weitzman, 2010;Farmer et al, 2015).…”
Section: Jel Classification -G32mentioning
confidence: 99%