2020
DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/83kg2
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A meta-analytic approach to evaluating the explanatory adequacy of theories

Abstract:

Theories are a key part of the scientific process. How should we evaluate theories against evidence? The two traditional and most widespread approaches use single studies and qualitative reviews to evaluate theories, and more recently large-scale replications are used. We argue here that none of these approaches fits in with cumulative science tenets. We propose instead the use of online and transparent Community-Augmented Meta-Analyses (CAMAs). These are cumulative and open because they are built using all… Show more

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Cited by 7 publications
(17 citation statements)
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“…All this makes MetaLab a very attractive source of reference data for model evaluation, as it has both up-to-date data and, for most of the capabilities, reports describing the meta-analytic practices to analyze these data for the developmental phenomena of interest, which allows computational modelers that are not experts on infant experimentation to adopt the meta-regression specification decided upon by the meta-analysis authors. In the age of cumulative science, such "community augmented meta-analyses" are likely the best approach to evaluating a theory's explanatory adequacy (i.e., its fit to extant data; Cristia et al, 2021), including because they minimize selection bias, they invite checks for scope (i.e., whether the whole space of design and stimuli is appropriately represented), and they use statistical techniques to actually account for potential effect variation. We will be drawing from MetaLab for our Experiment #2 (see Section 4).…”
Section: Human Reference From Meta-analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…All this makes MetaLab a very attractive source of reference data for model evaluation, as it has both up-to-date data and, for most of the capabilities, reports describing the meta-analytic practices to analyze these data for the developmental phenomena of interest, which allows computational modelers that are not experts on infant experimentation to adopt the meta-regression specification decided upon by the meta-analysis authors. In the age of cumulative science, such "community augmented meta-analyses" are likely the best approach to evaluating a theory's explanatory adequacy (i.e., its fit to extant data; Cristia et al, 2021), including because they minimize selection bias, they invite checks for scope (i.e., whether the whole space of design and stimuli is appropriately represented), and they use statistical techniques to actually account for potential effect variation. We will be drawing from MetaLab for our Experiment #2 (see Section 4).…”
Section: Human Reference From Meta-analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…4 for an illustration). Null effects are ambiguous: Although theoretically they can still act as a meaningful target for a model (i.e., the model should also have null effect for this capability), they may also signal noisy infant data (see Section 3.4), which is an issue particularly for moderators (for which power is always lower than for main effects; see also Lewis et al, 2016;and Steps 9 and 0 in Cristia et al, 2021). In the absence of better knowledge, we will treat null effects as null targets for models as well, especially if the null finding is supported by substantial statistical power.…”
Section: Human Reference From Meta-analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…These would be important steps towards the cumulating integration of various definitions, measures, and insights from various data sources in joint frameworks. Chartier, Kline, McCarthy, Nuijten, Dunleavy, & Ledgerwood, 2018;Cristia, Tsuji, & Bergmann, 2020;Irani, 2015). The technology and communication infrastructure is ready to be used (e.g., Crüwell et al, 2019).…”
Section: Cumulating Insights By Joining Forces In Multi-lab Collaboramentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Going beyond "classic" meta-analyses, MetaLab implements so-called Community-Augmented Meta-Analyses (CAMAs; Cristia et al, 2021;, which open metaanalyses to the community. This means a meta-analysis can be updated as new studies emerge or null results are dredged from the file drawer.…”
Section: Using Meta-analyses To Inform Later Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%