A Method of Predicting Nobel Prizewinners in Chemistry

Ashton, Sally‐Ann; Oppenheim, Charles

doi:10.1177/030631277800800306

Cited by 56 publications

(26 citation statements)

References 3 publications

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“…Citation studies have also been used for the prediction of Nobel prizewinners [15,16]; patent citation studies have been used to assess the flow from research to development [17]; and other studies to show the impact of one country on another's research [18]; they have also been used to assess the research output, and therefore the long term prospects, of biotechnology companies, with recommendations that companies with good citation counts but low share prices are worth investing in [19]; the usefulness of this technique is doubtful as there never has been any suggestion that citation counts are related to commercial success. Citation studies have also been used to assess scientists themselves.…”

Section: Citation Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do citations matter?

Baird

Oppenheim

1994

Journal of Information Science

137

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Citation indexes are based on the principle of authors citing previous articles of relevance. The paper demonstrates the long history of citing for precedent and notes how ISI's citation indexes differ from Shepards Citations. The paper analyses some of the criticisms of citation counting, and some of the uses for which citation analysis has been employed. The paper also examines the idea of the development of an Acknowledgements Index, and concludes such an index is unlikely to be commercially viable. The paper describes a citation study of Eugene Garfield, and concludes that he may be the most heavily cited information scientist, that he is a heavy self-citer, and that the reasons why other authors cite Garfield are different from the reasons why he cites himself. The paper concludes that citation studies remain a valid method of analysis of individuals', institutions', or journals' impact, but need to be used with caution and in conjunction with other measures.

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Section: Citation Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do citations matter?

Baird

Oppenheim

1994

Journal of Information Science

137

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“…In our opinion, severe scepticism should be attached to the simpler citation measures produced to date. No geographer appears to have analysed data to the extent of such information scientists as Porter (1977) or Ashton and Oppenheim (1978), although such works are referenced (Whitehand, 1985;Bodman, 1991). We concur with Matthews (1993) when he urges the use of citation analysis for bibliographic searches rather than for citation counting.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 59%

Multiple authorship and citation analysis

Edwards

1995

Scottish Geographical Magazine

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“…A limitation of Google Pagerank is that it is not as suitable to calculating the author impact factor as the h-index. There are some papers in which authors proceed with analysis and discussion of Nobel prizes (see, for example, Ashton, 1978;Garfield, 1981Garfield, , 1986Garfield and Welljams-Dorof, 1992;Gingras and Wallace, 2010). However, only Ashton (1978) tried to propose a new method to predict Nobel prize winners.…”

Section: Technical Discussion Of Some Related Measuresmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The comparison process helps to provide us with a deeper understanding of the issues related to this study and understand to the advantages and flaws of previous studies. There are also some other related works such as Ashton (1978), Garfield (1986), Garfield and Welljams-Dorof (1992) and Gingras and Wallace (2010). However, most of these works perform a citation analysis for Nobel Prize winners' publications rather than propose a method to predict them.…”

Section: Prog 482mentioning

confidence: 99%

Methods for recommending and predicting Nobel Prize candidates

Guo

Chen

2014

Program

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Purpose -In the twenty-first century, technology and information are continuously being changed and rapidly updated. Many new innovations and discoveries emerge daily. This study aims to identify significant pioneers and milestones in academic research through utilizing bibliometric methods and heterogeneous data, including textbook citations, citations of theses and dissertations, and journal citations. Design/methodology/approach -This study proposes several methods and formulas for recommending Nobel prizes candidates. Through utilizing bibliometric methods and heterogeneous data, including textbook citations, citations of theses and dissertations, and journal article citations, this research facilitates the collection of numerous significant research results. The authors propose several new, useful formulae, including a pioneer paper impact factor, a popular classical paper impact factor, a ranking factor of specific fields, a groundbreaking author impact factor, and a frequently cited author impact factor. Findings -This study utilizes historical information on the Nobel Prize to examine, revise, and verify existing methods for recommending and predicting candidates, in order to enhance the accuracy and availability of the approach presented by this study. The experimental results show that the approach designed in this study had a rate of successful prediction exceeding 50 percent. The major reason for producing reasonable results is that the milestone paper and pioneer paper are filtered first, and then the important candidate authors from the most pioneer paper are filtered. Therefore, the results indicated the feasibility of the methods developed by this study. Originality/value -The purpose of the Nobel Prize is to reward original research findings or inventions that significantly and positively influence human life. However, due to budget limitations, only five fields are included in the academic domains for which Nobel prizes are awarded. The authors develop one useful new way to identify milestone papers and authors. Young students can choose, read and learn from these milestone papers. The pioneer authors identified by this research could be the recommended candidate list for some academic awards.

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A Method of Predicting Nobel Prizewinners in Chemistry

Cited by 56 publications

References 3 publications

Do citations matter?

Do citations matter?

Multiple authorship and citation analysis

Methods for recommending and predicting Nobel Prize candidates

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