2011
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0315-2
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A methodology for predicting future coastal hazards due to sea-level rise on the California Coast

Abstract: Sea-level rise will increase the risks associated with coastal hazards of flooding and erosion. Along the active tectonic margin of California, the diversity in coastal morphology complicates the evaluation of future coastal hazards. In this study, we estimate future coastal hazards based on two scenarios generated from a downscaled regional global climate model. We apply new methodologies using statewide data sets to evaluate potential erosion hazards. The erosion method relates shoreline change rates to coas… Show more

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Cited by 43 publications
(37 citation statements)
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“…El incremento y descenso del nivel de mar, referido en este estudio para el Cuaternario, es el efecto más evidente de las variaciones climáticas y modelamiento del margen costero (Rohling et al, 2008;Revell et al, 2011). Todos estos efectos de cambios ocurridos en el pasado son registrados en los sedimentos y en los modelamientos (cambios de forma) del terreno, dependiendo de aportes sedimentarios o procesos de erosión, de las etapas glaciales e interglaciales (definido también como Marine Isotope Stage, MIS) (Emiliani, 1958;Shackleton, 1967;Chappell & Shackleton, 1986;Martinson et al, 1987), y de las intensas precipitaciones o del desgaste por acción marina, fluvial y eólica.…”
Section: Introductionunclassified
“…El incremento y descenso del nivel de mar, referido en este estudio para el Cuaternario, es el efecto más evidente de las variaciones climáticas y modelamiento del margen costero (Rohling et al, 2008;Revell et al, 2011). Todos estos efectos de cambios ocurridos en el pasado son registrados en los sedimentos y en los modelamientos (cambios de forma) del terreno, dependiendo de aportes sedimentarios o procesos de erosión, de las etapas glaciales e interglaciales (definido también como Marine Isotope Stage, MIS) (Emiliani, 1958;Shackleton, 1967;Chappell & Shackleton, 1986;Martinson et al, 1987), y de las intensas precipitaciones o del desgaste por acción marina, fluvial y eólica.…”
Section: Introductionunclassified
“…The study of SLR impacts has focused on its effects on beaches (e.g. Revell et al 2011;Sánchez-Arcilla et al 2011;Torresan et al 2012;Monioudi et al 2015), coastal defence structures (Chini and Stansby 2012;Isobe 2013;Lee et al 2013;Burcharth et al 2014), coastal ecosystems (Reynolds et al 2012;Kane et al 2015) or flooding of urban areas (e.g. Hallegatte et al 2011;Paudel et al 2015), but few studies have addressed its impacts on harbours.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Forecasts of potential impacts to coastal areas due to climate change and/or extreme events have been performed on the US West Coast using qualitative indices (Thieler and Hammar-Klose 1999); quantitative, event-selection or benchmark event approaches (e.g., Allan and Priest 2001); and response-based or structural function approaches (Revell et al 2011). Fully probabilistic, full temporal simulation approaches that account for conditional dependencies between relevant variables (e.g., Callaghan et al 2008) are considered the most robust and involve randomly sampling from fitted probability distributions in a Monte Carlo sense.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%