“…Data timelines and availability has greatly increased in recent years, which led to direct improvements in epidemic models (Colizza et al, 2006;Riley, 2007;Siettos & Russo, 2013). These models can help in providing a more comprehensive understanding of recent outbreaks of diseases such as Ebola (Gomes et al, 2014;WHO Ebola Response Team, 2014) and Zika (Zhang et al, 2017). However, all modelling efforts are highly dependent on several elements: a deep understanding of the course of the disease; a comprehensive algorithm of clinical and public health options available and stages of events; probability of such options given certain conditions of the system; identification of parameters that reflect such events and their probabilities (such as mortality by age, infectiousness by contacts, etc.…”