In many instances of potential violent and non-violent conflict the future strategic positions of adversaries are very di erent when there is open conflict than when there is settlement. Then, as the future becomes more important, open conflict becomes more likely than settlement. We theoretically demonstrate this result and discuss its applicability in war, litigation, and other settings. We test for this e ect in a laboratory experiment and find that subjects are more likely to engage in risky conflict as the shadow of the future increases.JEL Classifications: C72, C91, D01, D74.