2020
DOI: 10.1101/2020.04.17.20069898
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A multivariate spatiotemporal spread model of COVID-19 using ensemble of ConvLSTM networks

Abstract: The high R-naught factor of SARS-CoV-2 has created a race against time for mankind and it necessitates rapid containment actions to control the spread. In such scenario short term accurate spatiotemporal predictions can help understanding the dynamics of the spread in a geographic region and identify hotspots. We propose an ensemble of convolutional LSTM based spatiotemporal model to forecast spread of the epidemic with high resolution and accuracy in a large geographic region. A data preparation method is pro… Show more

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Cited by 8 publications
(6 citation statements)
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“…Authors in Ref. [147] forecasted global pandemic outbreak by using multivariate spatiotemporal model based on convolutional LSTM framework. They used the data of Italy and USA, and transformed spatial features into clusters.…”
Section: Covid-19 Outbreak Forecasting Modelsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Authors in Ref. [147] forecasted global pandemic outbreak by using multivariate spatiotemporal model based on convolutional LSTM framework. They used the data of Italy and USA, and transformed spatial features into clusters.…”
Section: Covid-19 Outbreak Forecasting Modelsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Beyond conventional ML-based approaches, advanced DL techniques have also been used to estimate future cases. Paul et al [136] suggested a convolutional LSTM-based multivariate spatiotemporal model to forecast the pandemic outbreak at the world-level. The proposed framework converted the spatial features into groups of temporal/non-temporal component-based 2D images and used data from USA and Italy to train the network.…”
Section: Ai-based Approaches For Covid-19mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…All the considered papers explicitly state the object of study, albeit with different fortune. For example, 12 of them [37,41,47,48,59,62,69,[120][121][122][123][124] did this only in an implicit way, by distributing the information throughout the text. Only [38] and [125] did this in a partial manner, not mentioning the variables to predict.…”
Section: A Problem Descriptionmentioning
confidence: 99%