“…Many investigations have been done in the analysis of business cycles (Banerji & Hiris, 2001;Layton, 1996Layton, , 1998Seip & McNown, 2007;Wu & Tseng, 2002;Yang & Kim, 2005). However, business cycles are often determined by a panel of macroeconomic experts, and thus, it is difficult to predict the index of business cycles.…”