Objective-To assess the feasibility, safety, and efficacy of Ginkgo biloba extract (GBE) on delaying the progression to cognitive impairment in normal elderly aged 85 and older.Methods-Randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind, 42-month pilot study with 118 cognitively intact subjects randomized to standardized GBE or placebo. Kaplan-Meier estimation, Cox proportional hazard, and random-effects models were used to compare the risk of progression from Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) = 0 to CDR = 0.5 and decline in episodic memory function between GBE and placebo groups.Results-In the intention-to-treat analysis, there was no reduced risk of progression to CDR = 0.5 (log-rank test, p = 0.06) among the GBE group. There was no less of a decline in memory function among the GBE group (p = 0.05). In the secondary analysis, where we controlled the medication adherence level, the GBE group had a lower risk of progression from CDR = 0 to CDR = 0.5 (HR = 0.33, p = 0.02), and a smaller decline in memory scores (p = 0.04). There were more ischemic strokes and TIAs in the GBE group (p = 0.01).Conclusions-In unadjusted analyses, Ginkgo biloba extract (GBE) neither altered the risk of progression from normal to Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) = 0.5, nor protected against a decline in memory function. Secondary analysis taking into account medication adherence showed a protective effect of GBE on the progression to CDR = 0.5 and memory decline. Results of larger prevention trials taking into account medication adherence may clarify the effectiveness of GBE. More stroke and TIA cases observed among the GBE group requires further study to confirm.One of the most pressing public health problems facing society in the coming decades is the rapidly growing number of aging individuals who, because of their age alone, are highly susceptible to dementia. 1 Because of this major increase in those affected with dementia, the potential of delaying or preventing cognitive decline before onset of symptoms (primary prevention) is thus of great importance. Very few studies of primary prevention of dementia have been completed. In part, this is related to the challenges of conducting such studies which include selection of non-toxic agents to be administered over long follow-up periods in relatively large subject cohorts. Given these challenges, one approach toward developing optimized dementia prevention studies is to focus on high-risk (for developing dementia) populations using readily available agents.In this article we describe the results of a randomized placebo-controlled primary prevention trial of standardized Ginkgo biloba extract (GBE) designed for the purpose of demonstrating that 1) a primary prevention trial in the high risk for dementia, oldest old (age ≥ 85) is feasible; 2) GBE is safe in the oldest old; and 3) there is a trend for GBE to delay the onset of progression to cognitive impairment. The study was designed within a constrained budget, conceived of as a feasibility study and as a means to estimate future study ...