A Note on Medium- and Long-Term Global Energy Prospects and Scenarios

Bollino, Carlo Andrea; Asdrubali, Francesco; Polinori, Paolo; Bigerna, Simona; Micheli, Silvia; Guattari, Claudia; Rotili, Antonella

doi:10.3390/su9050833

Cited by 13 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 43 publications

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“…In the Middle East, Saudi Arabia was studied by [175], and finally, [176] proposed to investigate quantitatively the impact of public policy of gradual reduction in fossil fuel consumption given through government subsidies; the results indicate that this contributes positively to the performance of macroeconomic factors [176]. In non-quantitative approaches, [177] investigated trends for the global energy market in the medium and long term and concluded that there is a global interest in renewable and non-conventional energies, as well as in improving energy efficiency to reduce an environmental impact on energy generation [177]. Europe was studied by [178,179], while China was studied by [180,181], Russia by [182], the economies of Mexico and Vietnam by [183] and Nigeria in [184].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Renewable Energy, Economic Growth and Economic Development Nexus: A Bibliometric Analysis

Oliveira

Moutinho

2021

Energies

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The present research aims to conduct a systemic review on Renewable Energy, Economic Growth and Economic Development and look for links between the papers published between 2008 and May 2021. Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) methodology, it was possible to reach a sample of 111 articles selected by Web of Science and a sample of 199 academic articles selected by Scopus in that specific period. The analysis of the group of Renewable and Non-renewable Energy Consumption, Economic Growth and Economic Development shows that most of the articles published in this subsample use the quantitative methodology in economic sciences. The results indicate that research on the subject has a growing trend and that most of the articles are post-2015 publications. In addition, China has been the leading nation in published works. The journal Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews is considered the most relevant in this category, and Sustainability has the most publications. Finally, a research gap was identified to be explored, lacking studies aimed at understanding the consumption of renewable energies and economic development and studies that focus on renewable energies and economic growth in less developed economies.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Renewable Energy, Economic Growth and Economic Development Nexus: A Bibliometric Analysis

Oliveira

Moutinho

2021

Energies

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“…Climate change and environmental concerns further impact energy usage, highlighting the need for continuous monitoring to adapt to shifts in demand related to weather variations and policy changes [94]. As consumer preferences evolve and global energy consumption rises, particularly in developing nations, forecasting models must incorporate these changes to remain effective [95,96]. Economic fluctuations and geopolitical events can significantly affect energy consumption, emphasizing the importance of continuous monitoring for accurate predictions [97][98][99].…”

Section: Continuous Monitoring and Adaptationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Empowering Sustainability: A Consumer-Centric Analysis Based on Advanced Electricity Consumption Predictions

Durmus Senyapar,

Aksoz

2024

Sustainability

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This study addresses the critical challenge of accurately forecasting electricity consumption by utilizing Exponential Smoothing and Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models. The research aims to enhance the precision of forecasting in the dynamic energy landscape and reveals promising outcomes by employing a robust methodology involving model application to a large amount of consumption data. Exponential Smoothing demonstrates accurate predictions, as evidenced by a low Sum of Squared Errors (SSE) of 0.469. SARIMA, with its seasonal ARIMA structure, outperforms Exponential Smoothing, achieving lower Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) values on both training (2.21%) and test (2.44%) datasets. This study recommends the adoption of SARIMA models, supported by lower MAPE values, to influence technology adoption and future-proof decision-making. This study highlights the societal implications of informed energy planning, including enhanced sustainability, cost savings, and improved resource allocation for communities and industries. The synthesis of model analysis, technological integration, and consumer-centric approaches marks a significant stride toward a resilient and efficient energy ecosystem. Decision-makers, stakeholders, and researchers may leverage findings for sustainable, adaptive, and consumer-centric energy planning, positioning the sector to address evolving challenges effectively and empowering consumers while maintaining energy efficiency.

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“…With the continuous development of science and technology, the types of energy available for human use are not limited to traditional fossil fuels (coal, oil, and natural gas) . Wind energy, solar energy, geothermal energy, biomass energy, hydrogen energy, and other green, coordinated, and sustainable energy types are increasingly appearing in people’s daily lives. − In 2013, fossil fuels accounted for 81% of global primary energy consumption. , It is estimated that, by 2040, oil and natural gas will still occupy the world’s major energy markets . As an unconventional fossil energy rich in natural gas, natural gas hydrate (NGH) has attracted the attention of more and more scientists. , …”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Enhancing Gas Production from Hydrate-Bearing Reservoirs through Depressurization-Based Approaches: Knowledge from Laboratory Experiments

et al. 2021

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There have been several field tests around the world to recover natural gas from gas hydrate reservoirs. A most recent trial took place in the South China Sea, breaking the records of cumulative and daily gas yield from marine hydrate deposits. However, significant challenges still remain while approaching commercial gas production. These may involve but are not limited to the ultralow permeability of the reservoir, insufficient heat supply, unstable gas yield fluctuations, sand problem upon water production from the silty sediments, and secondary hydrate formation or ice generation blocking the pore spaces. Consequently, intensive efforts have been made to understand and, thereby, manipulate the complicated gas production process. Of special interest are the studies on the determination and optimization of the depressurization scheme, because depressurization is recognized to be most promising toward an economically efficient gas recovery. Therefore, in this work, we elaborated on the effects of pressure regulation on the behavior of gas and water yield and characteristics of the reservoir during the gas production process through depressurization-based approaches. Particular attention was paid on the enhancement of the gas production rate and energy efficiency under various scenarios. The advantages and limitations of the current investigation were also discussed to present preliminary suggestions and perspectives for future studies. This work could provide a brief view of the current efforts on improving the gas production efficiency at a laboratory scale; further investigations are still required to scale-up these findings to provide guidance to the field test in the future.

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A Note on Medium- and Long-Term Global Energy Prospects and Scenarios

Cited by 13 publications

References 43 publications

Renewable Energy, Economic Growth and Economic Development Nexus: A Bibliometric Analysis

Renewable Energy, Economic Growth and Economic Development Nexus: A Bibliometric Analysis

Empowering Sustainability: A Consumer-Centric Analysis Based on Advanced Electricity Consumption Predictions

Enhancing Gas Production from Hydrate-Bearing Reservoirs through Depressurization-Based Approaches: Knowledge from Laboratory Experiments

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