A novel method for analysis of offshore sustainable energy systems

Abstract

In the present research, we have proposed a new adaptive kernel density estimation method formulated on the theory of linear diffusion processes. By examining the calculation results we have found that in the tail region, our proposed new adaptive kernel density estimation distribution curve becomes very smooth and fits quite well with the histogram of the measured ocean wave dataset at the US National Data Buoy Center station 46026. Carefully studying the calculation results also reveals that the 50-year extreme Power-Take-Off heaving force value forecasted based on the environmental contour derived using the new method is 3021700N, which is much larger than the value 2458700N forecasted via the Rosenblatt-inverse second-order reliability method contour method. Consequently, our proposed new adaptive kernel density estimation method formulated on the theory of linear diffusion processes can forecast well and efficiently forecast the 50-year extreme design force values for offshore sustainable energy systems.