A Prediction Model for Deciphering Intratumoral Heterogeneity Derived from the Microglia/Macrophages of Glioma Using Non-Invasive Radiogenomics

Abstract

Microglia and macrophages play a major role in glioma immune responses within the glioma microenvironment. We aimed to construct a prognostic prediction model for glioma based on microglia/macrophage-correlated genes. Additionally, we sought to develop a non-invasive radiogenomics approach for risk stratification evaluation. Microglia/macrophage-correlated genes were identified from four single-cell datasets. Hub genes were selected via lasso–Cox regression, and risk scores were calculated. The immunological characteristics of different risk stratifications were assessed, and radiomics models were constructed using corresponding MRI imaging to predict risk stratification. We identified eight hub genes and developed a relevant risk score formula. The risk score emerged as a significant prognostic predictor correlated with immune checkpoints, and a relevant nomogram was drawn. High-risk groups displayed an active microenvironment associated with microglia/macrophages. Furthermore, differences in somatic mutation rates, such as IDH1 missense variant and TP53 missense variant, were observed between high- and low-risk groups. Lastly, a radiogenomics model utilizing five features from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) T2 fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (Flair) effectively predicted the risk groups under a random forest model. Our findings demonstrate that risk stratification based on microglia/macrophages can effectively predict prognosis and immune functions in glioma. Moreover, we have shown that risk stratification can be non-invasively predicted using an MRI-T2 Flair-based radiogenomics model.