Proc. 27th Annual Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction (IGLC) 2019
DOI: 10.24928/2019/0161
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A Predictive Method for Benefits Realisation Through Modelling Uncertainty in Front End Design

Abstract: Many projects continue to fail to deliver intended benefits amid uncertainty in benefits realisation (BR) programs. This is more so in Front End Design (FED) where processes remain not only understudied but also informal yet reliant on knowledge sharing. As a result, there is an emergent need for new decision support tools to support benefits delivery processes. The paper addresses uncertainty with FED processes as a way of facilitating decision making as an enabler to benefits delivery of construction project… Show more

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Cited by 4 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…The decisions are delayed until the last possible moment. While this might apply to some decision-making settings, the empirical position in the Karni and Vierø [64] and Serugga, Kagioglou [65] suggests this may not necessarily improve decision making in all situations due to the resultant complexity in the unawareness in the decision problem. A similar sentiment is seen in model-based decision technique (4.7%) where the various models for decision support lack a unified and consistent approach for decision making while also in the main assuming simplistic relationships among attributes.…”
Section: Decision-making Techniques In Designmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The decisions are delayed until the last possible moment. While this might apply to some decision-making settings, the empirical position in the Karni and Vierø [64] and Serugga, Kagioglou [65] suggests this may not necessarily improve decision making in all situations due to the resultant complexity in the unawareness in the decision problem. A similar sentiment is seen in model-based decision technique (4.7%) where the various models for decision support lack a unified and consistent approach for decision making while also in the main assuming simplistic relationships among attributes.…”
Section: Decision-making Techniques In Designmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As user preferences continue to become complex as a result of new and emergent contextual factors and user needs, there is an increasing need for new research into project value performance for the future [1]. At the heart of this increasing need, however, is the delivery of intended project benefits [1][2][3][4][5][6]. Projects in a benefits realisation sense need to adequately capture, define, implement and evaluate their intended benefits continuously for better project performance [4,5].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Despite this understanding, research such as Burger, White [14] and Tezel, Koskela [1] point to continuing underperformances in Architecture, Engineering and Construction (AEC) across many life cycle processes. This has been attributed in part to the insufficiency in the understanding of processes and fragmented practice on the one hand; and inadequacy in support tools on the other to support complex analysis of continually emergent and changing user needs [2].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…The latter is partially due to the limited research and understanding of the role of design as a key driver in value generation (Serugga et al 2019). Kagioglou and Tzortzopoulos (2016) and Salam et al (2019) highlight that decision making and the intensive information exchanges in multi stakeholder FED, coupled with the dynamic and iterative nature of FED, can be challenging.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%