A Proton Pump Inhibitor Independently Elevates Gastrin Levels as a Marker for Metachronous Gastric Cancer After Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection

Abstract

Background and Objective: Serum markers such as gastrin and pepsinogen are useful for stratifying gastric cancer risk. However, their utility in predicting metachronous gastric cancer after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) in patients with gastric cancer after Helicobacter pylori eradication (GCAE) is unclear. This study aimed to clarify predictive factors for metachronous gastric cancer after ESD with a focus on serum markers. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 197 patients with 224 GCAE lesions who underwent ESD at Hiroshima University Hospital between April 2010 and December 2019. In total, 63 patients with 74 differentiated-type lesions were classified into metachronous gastric cancer (MG) and non-metachronous gastric cancer (NMG) groups, excluding proton pump inhibitor (PPI) users, female patients, and undifferentiated-type cases. The predictive value of serum markers was assessed using ROC curve analysis, and their association with carcinogenesis was evaluated using multiple logistic regression. Furthermore, the incidence of MG was compared between long-term PPI users and non-users. Results: ROC analysis revealed that serum gastrin had the highest discriminative ability for MG (AUC 0.77, cut-off 99 pg/mL, sensitivity 61.6%, and specificity 80.0%). Severe mucosal atrophy and high gastrin levels were significantly more common in the MG group and were independent predictors (p < 0.01). Although serum gastrin levels were significantly elevated in PPI users, no increased risk of MG was observed. Conclusions: In addition to severe mucosal atrophy, PPI-independent elevated serum gastrin levels may be associated with an increased risk of MG after ESD. Serum gastrin may serve as a valuable marker for post-ESD cancer surveillance in GCAE patients.