2012
DOI: 10.12693/aphyspola.121.b-110
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A Random Matrix Approach to Dynamic Factors in Macroeconomic Data

Abstract: We show how random matrix theory can be applied to develop new algorithms to extract dynamic factors from macroeconomic time series. In particular, we consider a limit where the number of random variables N and the number of consecutive time measurements T are large but the ratio N/T is fixed. In this regime the underlying random matrices are asymptotically equivalent to Free Random Variables (FRV).Application of these methods for macroeconomic indicators for Poland economy is also presented.

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Cited by 5 publications
(10 citation statements)
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“…(3.24). This formula is quite convenient for those situations when introducing empirical correlation matrices on both sides of the rectangular random matrix as it is the case in spacial-temporal correlations [56,57,58].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…(3.24). This formula is quite convenient for those situations when introducing empirical correlation matrices on both sides of the rectangular random matrix as it is the case in spacial-temporal correlations [56,57,58].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The Haar measure dµ of the coset Herm + (q|p) is explicitly given by [39,42,57] dµ(U ) = (2πi) −p Sdet p−q (U )[dU ] , (C. 15) where [dU ] is again the flat measure, in particular the product of differentials of all independent matrix entries. We emphasise that there is no natural normalisation of the Haar measure on the coset Herm + (q|p) when pq > 0; namely the volume of the supergroup U(1|1) vanishes due to Cauchylike integration theorems [58][59][60].…”
Section: (C6)mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Several approximations to this situation have been proposed. First, it was assumed that correlations in time steps and among time series factorise, as was considered in economics [15], climate research [8], sociology [16] and telecommunication [9]. In random matrix theory this problem was analytically discussed recently in [17,18] also for the real case and is called doubly-correlated Wishart ensemble.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Here we present brief recipes for the addition and multiplication of large random matrices and introduce some additional FRV transforms related to moments and cumulants. They found an application in description of spectral properties of large covariance matrices in particular in the financial context [52,53]. Recently, they also turned out to be crucial in the cleaning of noisy covariance matrices [16,54] and studying the properties of the eigenvectors of such matrices [55].…”
Section: Free Random Variable Cookbookmentioning
confidence: 99%