A regional assessment of wood resource sustainability and potential economic impact of the wood pellet market in the U.S. South

Henderson, James E.; Joshi, Omkar; Parajuli, Rajan; Hubbard, W. G.

doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2017.08.003

Cited by 37 publications

(23 citation statements)

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“…As documented in existing literature [e.g. 29,30], loss in timber production impacts primary and secondary products, such as paper and paperboard products as well as solid wood products such as sawmills and pulp mills. The prorated impacts were then used as inputs for the IMPLAN model analysis.…”

Section: Kudzu Invasion Scenarios and Sensitivity Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

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Predicting Kudzu (Pueraria montana) spread and its economic impacts in timber industry: A case study from Oklahoma

et al. 2020

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Quantifying the economic impacts of invasive species is an essential step in developing and prioritizing invasive species management. In particular, kudzu, Pueraria montana (Lour.) Merr. is an aggressive and non-native vine that not only causes ecological damage and reduces biodiversity, but can have multiple economic consequences such as loss of timber value and volume. Using current infestation locations in Oklahoma, southcentral USA, a Monte Carlo simulation was run to estimate the natural as well as anthropogenic spread rate of kudzu in the next five years. Simulations were supplemented with an economic impact analysis within the Impact Analysis for PLANing (IMPLAN) platform. To account for economic loss in the forest product industry, a replacement cost approach with a sensitivity analysis was conducted. Occurrence data collections revealed that current kudzu populations are already established in Oklahoma forests. The results demonstrate that by year five, total industry output could be reduced by $167.9 million, which will influence 780 jobs in the most extreme case scenario. The predicted economic loss due to kudzu expansion could act as an incentive for appropriate management practices and plans to be implemented. OPEN ACCESSCitation: Harron P, Joshi O, Edgar CB, Paudel S, Adhikari A (2020) Predicting Kudzu (Pueraria montana) spread and its economic impacts in timber industry: A case study from Oklahoma. PLoS ONE 15(3): e0229835. https://doi.org/ 10.

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Section: Kudzu Invasion Scenarios and Sensitivity Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The prorated impacts were then used as inputs for the IMPLAN model analysis. The protocol suggested in existing literature was followed [24,29,30]. For input-output analysis, the event years span from 2016 to 2020 as we used the latest 2016 IMPLAN data for the state of Oklahoma [23].…”

Section: Kudzu Invasion Scenarios and Sensitivity Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting Kudzu (Pueraria montana) spread and its economic impacts in timber industry: A case study from Oklahoma

et al. 2020

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“…Detailed analyses of the potential of a biobased national energy strategy [30,50,68,69] provided increasingly better perspectives on the biophysical potential of biomass and the economic availability of these resources nationally. Fully realizing the identified potentials, however, is a logistical challenge requiring that costs and energy inputs be as low as possible [16] and that environmental effects are adequately considered and mitigated [9,32,38,71].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A spatially explicit approach to modeling biological productivity and economic attractiveness of short-rotation woody crops in the eastern USA

et al. 2019

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Over the past two decades, the United States government conducted detailed analyses of the potential of a biobased national energy strategy that produced four unified studies, namely the 2005-2016 US Billion-Ton Study and updates. With each effort, better perspective was gained on the biophysical potential of biomass and the economic availability of these resources on a national scale. It was also apparent that many questions remained, including crop yields, logistical operations, and systems integration across production and harvest. These reports accentuated the need for improving geospatial performance metrics for biomass supply chains. This study begins to address these problems by developing spatially specific data layers that incorporate data on soils, climatology, growth, and economics for short-rotation woody biomass plantations. Methods were developed to spatially assess the potential productivity and profitability of four candidate species Pinus taeda L., Populus deltoides W. Bartram ex Marshall and Populus hybrids, Eucalyptus grandis Hill ex Maiden, and Eucalyptus benthamii Maiden et Cambage for biomass plantations in the eastern United States. Productivity was estimated using the process-based growth model 3PG (Physiological Processes Predicting Growth) parameterized at the resolution of the United States 5-digit zip code tabulation area (ZCTA). Each ZCTA is unique in terms of species suitability, cost, and productive potential. These data layers make available dedicated energy crop analyses for practitioners interested in facility siting scenarios in conjunction with a species growth potential at a particular location. Production systems for SRWC are extremely regionalized given key biophysical and economic factors that determine the potential for acceptable growth and profitability. This analysis points to the return on invested capital being dependent on the site location of a species within its operable range. Large-scale biomass plantation systems are feasible in regions with higher potential internal rate of return. The higher the potential return, the more desirable it is to plant the specific species on the site. Increasing the available feedstock by lowering cost, increasing productivity, and stabilizing logistics would have a similar effect as higher feedstock prices. The modeled growth can be used for further economic evaluation, carbon sequestration studies, and sustainability research.

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“…Other studies suggest the opposite. For example, Henderson et al [11] determined with the actual use of pulpwood for pulp mills, the remaining wood fiber would be sufficient for establishing 256 additional wood pellet facilities in the Southern US.In general, these studies have based their projections on historical data regarding production and timber prices. However, the joint consideration for changes in climatic conditions and bioenergy markets on the production of timber and forest biomass for bioenergy in the Southern US is very limited.…”

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confidence: 99%

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Impacts of Climate Change and Bioenergy Markets on the Profitability of Slash Pine Pulpwood Production in the Southeastern United States

Susaeta

Lal

2018

Forests

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In this study, we assessed the impacts of climate change on the production of pulpwood and biomass for bioenergy, and the profitability of slash pine stands in the Southeastern United States. We employed the 3-PG (Physiological Processes Predicting Growth) model to determine the effects of future climates on forest growth and integrated it with a stand-level economic model to determine their impacts on optimal forest management. We found that the average production of pulpwood increased for all sites by 7.5 m3 ha−1 for all climatic scenarios and productivity conditions. In the case of forest biomass for bioenergy, the average increase was less than 1 Mg ha−1. Considering a payment for forest biomass for bioenergy of $4.2 per green Mg−1, the land expectation values (LEVs), on average, increased by $242.1 ha−1 under extreme climatic conditions and high productivity conditions. However, the increase in LEVs due to payments for biomass for bioenergy was small, accounting for $23 ha−1. We also found that the combined effect of increased site productivity and climate change reduced the optimal harvest age of slash pine. Our results confirm that emerging bioenergy markets coupled with changing climatic conditions can increase the economic returns for landowners.

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A regional assessment of wood resource sustainability and potential economic impact of the wood pellet market in the U.S. South

Cited by 37 publications

References 10 publications

Predicting Kudzu (Pueraria montana) spread and its economic impacts in timber industry: A case study from Oklahoma

Predicting Kudzu (Pueraria montana) spread and its economic impacts in timber industry: A case study from Oklahoma

A spatially explicit approach to modeling biological productivity and economic attractiveness of short-rotation woody crops in the eastern USA

Impacts of Climate Change and Bioenergy Markets on the Profitability of Slash Pine Pulpwood Production in the Southeastern United States

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