A risk-based approach to land-use planning

Hauptmanns, Ulrich

doi:10.1016/j.jhazmat.2005.05.015

Cited by 41 publications

(33 citation statements)

References 4 publications

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“…Instead there are large amounts of data (e.g. ARIP Database [9]) concerning released quantities as well as the types of distribution function, not only for a range of process installations but also for a range of storage tanks, which are discussed in [2,8].…”

Section: Characteristics: Quantities Of Hazardous Substances Releasedmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For the estimation or the evaluation of the damage extent x, in the case of the probabilistic approach, fixed threshold values (e.g. ERPG2 or ERPG3 values, critical irradiances E cr or peak over-pressures Dp) are not used; instead, empirical Probit functions [3,8] are used. With a Probit function, the conditional probability for the expected occurrence of a particular consequence, e.g.…”

Section: Damage and Riskmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…in the form of a rectangular pdf between the limits 10 -4 a -1 and 10 -6 a -1 [2,8], the risk R is determined so that for the exceedence probability P excess [26] for the limit range P excess < 0.4 is true. With this method, the appropriate distances between the industrial installations and the population may be estimated; however, in order to determine the magnitude of these distances, it is necessary that the limits are defined accordingly [2].…”

Section: Estimation Of the Risk And Of Risk Rangesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Figure 2. Probability density function f M (M) or pdf(M), and distribution function P M (M), for the released mass M of gas phase NH 3 from storage facilities (according to [8]). …”

Section: Probabilistic Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Deterministic and Probabilistic Estimation of Appropriate Distances: Motivation for Considering the Consequences for Industrial Sites

et al. 2009

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Accidents and disruptions in chemical process installations can, in principle, lead to the rare events in which the release of flammable and/or toxic substances occurs, and which at particular distances from the installation can result in a hazard potential due to thermal radiation, blast wave effects or the concentration of toxic substances. The possibilities and limits of deterministic and probabilistic estimation methods for appropriate distances from hazardous installations, based on the example of an ammonia release and a large surface fire, are shown. In this, it is demonstrated that the deterministic and probabilistic approaches are in no way conflicting or unnecessary, but rather that they are complementary. The use of a deterministic estimation method leads to a maximum set radius of effects which only take account of the damage impact. Depending on the selection of the appropriate and suitable consequence models, critical distances are calculated which are in some cases much larger than the current standardised distances, as is shown by the example of large-scale fires. The use of a probabilistic estimation method leads to a range of distances for which the individual risk can be given in addition. In principle, iso-contours joining points of same risk or areas of same risk may be defined through the use of such estimations.

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Section: Characteristics: Quantities Of Hazardous Substances Releasedmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Damage and Riskmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Estimation Of the Risk And Of Risk Rangesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Figure 2. Probability density function f M (M) or pdf(M), and distribution function P M (M), for the released mass M of gas phase NH 3 from storage facilities (according to [8]). …”

Section: Probabilistic Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Deterministic and Probabilistic Estimation of Appropriate Distances: Motivation for Considering the Consequences for Industrial Sites

et al. 2009

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“…The consequences of major industrial accidents can cause remarkable damage in surrounding areas. Article 12 of the Seveso II-Directive requires that the objectives of preventing major accidents and limiting their consequences be taken into account by the Member States in their land use policies and/or other relevant policies [8][9][10]. Risk assessments are increasingly used in land use planning with the purpose of minimizing the undesirable effects of accidents at hazardous installations.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Aspects of risk assessment in land use planning: the case study of Tartu

Tammepuu¹,

Sepp²,

Uiga³

2007

WIT Transactions on the Built Environment, Vol 94

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The purpose of this work was to analyse the problems connected with the risk assessment of emergency situations in Estonia and their relations with land use planning. The research was carried out on the basis of a case study: the preliminary risk assessment of Tartu, the second largest city of Estonia, conducted by the specialists of the Estonian University of Life Sciences.The Estonian Emergency Preparedness Act designates risk assessment as an important task of crisis management, on the basis of which all of the following measures should be planned and implemented. The act specifies two types of risk assessment, functional and territorial. The first involves the ministries and their areas of government, whereas the second concerns the counties and the largest cities and communities. The methodical basis of territorial risk assessment is established by special regulation of the Minister of the Interior. The regulation requires the determination and risk assessment of 15 (or more) different types of possible emergency situations. The outcomes of the risk assessments will serve as the basis for composing crisis management plans and spatial (land use) planning, concerning county plans, comprehensive plans, detailed plans, and also specific building projects.At present, the risk assessments of all of the counties and most of the largest cities in Estonia have been performed, but the possibilities for the application of the outcomes for spatial planning remain uncertain. Our intention was to select and group the scenarios of development of emergency situation in relation with land use and spatial planning, and to draw up proposals for specific planning activities. On the basis of their relations to city area, the 15 types of possible emergency hazards were divided into five groups, which were described and analysed separately. The conclusions concerned the opportunities for taking into consideration the results of risk assessment in planning and design procedures.

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Plant and Process Safety, 7. Risk Calculations

Hauptmanns¹

2012

Ullmann's Encyclopedia of Industrial Chemistry

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The article contains sections titled: 1. Scope and Details of a Risk Analysis 2. Risk Acceptance Criteria 2.1. Individual Risk 2.2. Societal or Collective Risk

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A risk-based approach to land-use planning

Cited by 41 publications

References 4 publications

Deterministic and Probabilistic Estimation of Appropriate Distances: Motivation for Considering the Consequences for Industrial Sites

Deterministic and Probabilistic Estimation of Appropriate Distances: Motivation for Considering the Consequences for Industrial Sites

Aspects of risk assessment in land use planning: the case study of Tartu

Plant and Process Safety, 7. Risk Calculations

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