A Self-Organized Neuro-Fuzzy System for Air Cargo and Airline Passenger Dynamics Modeling and Forecasting

Chen, Chuen-Jyh

doi:10.4018/ijfsa.2012040102

Cited by 4 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…Within this research trend, the development of scenarios using neural networks for forecasting energy consumption according to the thermal comfort required by a house owner was addressed by [32]. A self-organized Neuro-Fuzzy System was proposed to model the dynamics and to forecast air cargo and airline passenger traffic in [33]. In addition, the integration of neural networks with cognitive maps for the analysis of scenarios has been proposed in a study of the dynamics of inflation in Turkey [34].…”

Section: Previous Workmentioning

confidence: 99%

Stochastic logistic fuzzy maps for the construction of integrated multirates scenarios in the financing of infrastructure projects

González-Ruiz

Peña

Grisales

et al. 2019

Applied Soft Computing

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In general, the development of economic infrastructure systems requires a behavioural comprehensive analysis of different financial variables or rates to establish its long-term success with regards to the Equity Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) expectation. For this reason, several financial organizations have developed economic scenarios supported by computational techniques and models to identify the evolution of these financial rates. However, these models and techniques have shown a series of limitations with regard to the financial management process and its impact on EIRR over time. To address these limitations in an inclusive way, researchers have developed different approaches and methodologies focused on the development of financial models using stochastic simulation methods and computational intelligence techniques. This paper proposes a Stochastic Fuzzy Logistic Model (S-FLM) inspired by a Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) structure to model financial scenarios. Where the input consists in financial rates that are characterized as linguistic rates through a series of adaptive logistic functions. The stochastic process that explains the behaviour of the financial rates over time and their partial effects on EIRR is based on a Monte Carlo sampling process carried out on the fuzzy sets that characterize each linguistic rate. The S-FLM was evaluated by applying three financing scenarios to an airport infrastructure system (pessimistic, moderate/base, optimistic), where it was possible to show the impact of different linguistic rates on the EIRR. The behaviour of the S-FLM was validated using three different models: (1) a financial management tool; (2) a general FCM without pre-loaded causalities among the variables; and (3) a Statistical S-FLM model (S-FLMS), where the causalities between the concepts or rates were obtained as a result of an independent effects analysis applying a cross modelling between variables and by using a statistical multi-linear model (statistical significance level) and a multi-linear neural model (MADALINE). The results achieved by the S-FLM show a higher EIRR than expected for each scenario. This was possible due to the incorporation of an adaptive multi-linear causality matrix and a fuzzy credibility matrix into its structure. This allowed to stabilize the effects of the financial variables or rates on the EIRR throughout a financing period. Thus, the S-FLM can be considered as a tool to model dynamic financial scenarios in different knowledge areas in a comprehensive manner. This way, overcoming the limitations imposed by the traditional computational models used to design these financial scenarios.

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Section: Previous Workmentioning

confidence: 99%

Stochastic logistic fuzzy maps for the construction of integrated multirates scenarios in the financing of infrastructure projects

González-Ruiz

Peña

Grisales

et al. 2019

Applied Soft Computing

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“…Chen [20] tried to relate the scheduling performance to the factor values with a back propagation network (BPN). Artificial neural networks have been widely applied to various control fields [21–23]. When such applications work, one can find the factor values that contribute to optimal scheduling performance.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Enhancing Scheduling Performance for a Wafer Fabrication Factory: The Biobjective Slack-Diversifying Nonlinear Fluctuation-Smoothing Rule

Chen

Wang

2012

Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience

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A biobjective slack-diversifying nonlinear fluctuation-smoothing rule (biSDNFS) is proposed in the present work to improve the scheduling performance of a wafer fabrication factory. This rule was derived from a one-factor bi-objective nonlinear fluctuation-smoothing rule (1f-biNFS) by dynamically maximizing the standard deviation of the slack, which has been shown to benefit scheduling performance by several previous studies. The efficacy of the biSDNFS was validated with a simulated case; evidence was found to support its effectiveness. We also suggested several directions in which it can be exploited in the future.

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An effective dispatching rule for bi-objective job scheduling in a wafer fabrication factory—considering the average cycle time and the maximum lateness

Chen

2012

Int J Adv Manuf Technol

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A Self-Organized Neuro-Fuzzy System for Air Cargo and Airline Passenger Dynamics Modeling and Forecasting

Cited by 4 publications

References 23 publications

Stochastic logistic fuzzy maps for the construction of integrated multirates scenarios in the financing of infrastructure projects

Stochastic logistic fuzzy maps for the construction of integrated multirates scenarios in the financing of infrastructure projects

Enhancing Scheduling Performance for a Wafer Fabrication Factory: The Biobjective Slack-Diversifying Nonlinear Fluctuation-Smoothing Rule

An effective dispatching rule for bi-objective job scheduling in a wafer fabrication factory—considering the average cycle time and the maximum lateness

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