A sensitive and quantitative multimodal blood test for the detection of colorectal adenomas and cancer: Correlation with size and number of polyps.

Abstract

1555 Background: Colonoscopic polypectomy is the primary reason for declining colorectal cancer incidence and mortality. Epidemiological evidence has ordered the timing and risk of pre-cancerous adenomas, localized and invasive cancer along a 7-10 year continuum. The increased size and number of index polyps are correlated with an increased probability of progression to cancer and informs surveillance colonoscopies. Methods: A single-center, IRB-approved, prospective, blinded study was conducted at the VA Palo Alto Health Care System. Results for 354 patients with no prior diagnosis of CRC who were scheduled for colonoscopy are presented. Indications for colonoscopy were 86% asymptomatic and 14% with symptoms or positive-FIT. Patients had blood drawn immediately prior to colonoscopy. The test analyzes three biomarkers: circulating gastrointestinal epithelial cells (CEC), validated somatic mutations, and methylation (SEPTIN9) of cell-free DNA and uses incident risk to calculate a CMx Score, scaled from 0 to 100. Multivariate regression methods were used to assess the degree of association between the pre-defined CMx Scores and polyp sizes and number, adjusting for both DNA mutation and DNA methylation status. Results: There is a significant association between CMx Scores and polyp size (F value = 5.80, p-value = 0.017). DNA mutation (F value = 1.29, p-value = 0.263) and methylation status (F value = 0.34, p-value = 0.560) were non-significant. Similarly, there is a significant association between CMx Scores and number of polyps (F value = 23.71, p-value < 0.0001). Again, DNA mutation (F value = 1.57, p-value = 0.210) and methylation status (F value = 1.34, p-value = 0.248) were non-significant. These results suggest that CMx Scores, which incorporate CEC, are providing predictive information of polyp sizes and number above and beyond DNA mutation and methylation status alone. Conclusions: A novel noninvasive multimodal blood-based assay that analyzes cell-free DNA for somatic mutations and methylation, CEC and integrates SEER incidence risk is significantly associated with polyp size and number. The opportunity to track progression and potentially inform colonoscopy interval is notable. [Table: see text]