A statistical study for impacts of environmental conditions on the rapid spread of new corona virus

Abstract

The new coronavirus, COVID-19, spread quickly and causes the death for thousands of people, and a major freeze for the economy and people activities worldwide. This study made statistical analysis for the influences of the environmental conditions such as temperature, humidity, precipitation, wind, and air pollution, which may aid in spreading this virus very fast. The study also investigated statistically the impact of people customs such as smoking, drinking wine, and eating pig meat on the number of deaths among infected people. The study depicted reasons for spreading it in some places much more than others over the world. A statistical software SPSS was adopted to find a correlation among the different variables affecting the virus spread. The results exhibited a significant relationship between the suggested conditions and the virus spread. The study introduced two regression equations for expecting infected people and deaths based on the examined conditions for any region.

Association between coronavirus cases and seasonal climatic variables in Mediterranean European Region, evidence by panel data regression

“…Wind speed could affect directly or indirectly to reduce the infection transmission, which might due to social behaviour as high wind speed makes people stay more in home, so less social interaction happens, or the wind speed spreads the suspended particles in the atmosphere, which it might have a significant role in the transmissions particularly in the capitals. This finding is in line with the results of the study (Ahmed and Ghanem 2020 ). However, our findings show that the precipitation does not have a significant effect on the COVID-19 infected cases, which is in the same trend with finding of the study (Ahmed and Ghanem 2020 ).…”

“…This finding is in line with the results of the study (Ahmed and Ghanem 2020 ). However, our findings show that the precipitation does not have a significant effect on the COVID-19 infected cases, which is in the same trend with finding of the study (Ahmed and Ghanem 2020 ).…”

“…For every one-unit increase in Celsius degree in the average temperature, the number of infected cases decreases by approximately 3.67% cases per day within the threshold of temperature which is set as the maximum reported degree of temperature. This results in line with the (Roy 2020 ; Ahmed and Ghanem 2020 ) in the beginning of the epidemic period during first-winter and spring. Further to that, the findings support that the higher speed of the wind, could reduce the infection cases, for every one-unit of increasing in the wind-speed (m/s), the number of COVID-19 cases decreases by about 0.42%.…”

“…The findings suggest that the different temperature categories can influence virus transmission variously. Ahmed and Ghanem ( 2020 ) detected the influences of the environmental conditions such as temperature, humidity, precipitation, wind, and air pollution, in spreading the COVID-19 virus, besides other factors related to behaviour of people such as smoking, drinking wine, and eating pig meat. The results exhibited a significant relationship between the suggested conditions and the virus spread.…”

Can COVID-19 and environmental research in developing countries support these countries to meet the environmental challenges induced by the pandemic?

“…The occurrence and spread of COVID-19 are closely related to environmental issues such as air pollution and water pollution. A survey of global environmental conditions found that environmental conditions with suitable temperature, high air humidity and rainfall, and high air pollution are more conducive to the spread of COVID-19 (Ahmed and Ghanem 2020 ). And the COVID-19 virus can survive for many days in untreated sewage.…”