A strategic analysis of the New Brunswick, Canada fracking controversy

O’Brien, Nicole; Hipel, Keith W.

doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.12.024

Cited by 17 publications

(8 citation statements)

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“…Having access to OG in impermeable material leads to the expansion of naturally occurring fissures and the generation of additional ones (Holahan and Arnold, 2013). Thus, fracking has been linked to issues including pollution and depletion of ground and drinking water (Abdalla and Drohan, 2010), usually mentioned as a main concern by the public (Wolske et al, 2013;O'Brien and Hipel, 2016); emissions of greenhouse gases (Howarth et al, 2011); leakage of methane into tap water, which could make it flammable and explosive (Osborn et al, 2011;Ehrenberg, 2012); and seismic activity (NAS, 2012). 10 In some jurisdictions, concerns have also been raised in relation to the lack of regulations about and enforcement of rules governing the disclosure of the mix of chemicals used by extracting companies (Kirker and Burger, 2011;Wolske et al, 2013), 11 as well as the handling of potentially toxic wastewater flowback (Colborn et al, 2011;Bamberger and Oswald, 2012).…”

Section: The Role Of Fracking In the Exploitation Of Ogmentioning

confidence: 99%

Public Attitudes towards Hydraulic Fracturing in Western Newfoundland

2019

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Hydraulic fracturing or "fracking" is an emerging unconventional technology in the oil and gas (OG) exploitation sector linked to high levels of uncertainty. In this paper, we examine the level of support for fracking in the province of Newfoundland and Labrador (NL). This province is also one of the regions of the country in which fracking could be performed and whose economy could substantially benefit from the availability of this new source of energy resources. However, there remain serious obstacles to the social acceptability of fracking among the people of NL and, in particular, the prospect of fracking in Western Newfoundland (WNL) is a highly controversial issue. This area hosts one of the most highly valuable natural areas in the province (Gross Morne National Park). We identify key factors to oppose or support fracking. Using a multinomial logit model, we characterize di↵erent groups of citizens who oppose or support fracking and also other 'conventional' extractive technologies. Institutional issues, environmental risks, and socio-economic factors will be considered when explaining attitudes towards fracking. Further understanding the acceptability of this 'unconventional' technology should help public regulators make decisions and design optimal policies in the OG extraction sector.

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Section: The Role Of Fracking In the Exploitation Of Ogmentioning

confidence: 99%

Public Attitudes towards Hydraulic Fracturing in Western Newfoundland

2019

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“…A New Brunswick fracking dispute in Canada between the provincial Government of Premier Alward and Elsipogtog First Nation is employed to illustrate how the proposed approach for determining the required preferences of each DM for a given state of interest to be an equilibrium works in practice. Because this conflict was previously formulated and analyzed by O'Brien and Hipel (2016), the possible equilibria to this dispute under the preferences provided in their paper have already been calculated using GMCR. Assuming that the preferences of any DM…”

Section: Application Of Inverse Analysis To the Elsipogtog First Nation Fracking Disputementioning

confidence: 99%

“…The Elsipogtog First Nation fracking dispute, which occurred in June of 2013, was first formally modeled and analyzed by O'Brien and Hipel (2016). The Frederick Brook shale deposit where the dispute took place is located in the southern part of the Province of New Brunswick in Canada.…”

Section: Background and The Option Form Of The Disputementioning

confidence: 99%

Matrix representations of the inverse problem in the graph model for conflict resolution

Wang

Hipel

Fang

et al. 2018

European Journal of Operational Research

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This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. Highlights A matrix method for an inverse conflict analysis is developed. Conditions for required preference relations are derived. Four solution concepts of human behaviour are considered. This method is applicable for both transitive and intransitive preferences. Two application approaches are described.

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“…As mentioned in the previous section, GMCR has been successfully applied to aquaculture disputes. Other fields in which GMCR has been utilized include brownfields (Hu et al, 2009;Bernath Walker et al, 2010;Hipel, Hegazy and Yousefi, 2010;Yousefi et al, 2010cYousefi et al, , 2011Hipel and Bernath Walker, 2012;Philpot et al, 2017), construction management (Kassab et al, 2006(Kassab et al, , 2010(Kassab et al, , 2011Yousefi et al, 2010a, b), energy (Armin et al, 2012;Matbouli et al, 2015;Xiao et al, 2015;Garcia et al, 2016;O'Brien and Hipel, 2016), indigenous people relations (Ma et al, 2005;Obeidi et al, 2006), military science (Fraser et al, 1990;Kilgour et al, 1998;Hipel, 2011;Hipel et al, 2014), trade (Hipel et al, 1990(Hipel et al, , 2001) and sustainable development (Levy et al, 1995;Hipel and Obeidi, 2005;Ghanbarpour and Hipel, 2009). The GMCR methodology is purposefully designed to investigate real-world conflicts in order to obtain meaningful insights to satisfactorily resolve a given dispute by meeting each stakeholder's interests as much as possible within the social constraints of a given problem and possibly even reaching a win/win resolution.…”

Section: Managing Conflict In Aquaculturementioning

confidence: 99%

Managing conflict in aquaculture

Hipel

Fang

Xiao

2018

Marine Economics and Management

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Purpose-A flexible decision technology called the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR) is applied to a generic aquaculture conflict to illustrate how GMCR can be used to systematically investigate a wide range of conflicts arising in aquaculture in order to obtain meaningful strategic insights and thereby assist in making informed decisions in aquaculture development. To emphasize the importance of being able to resolve aquaculture controversies, a review of the global economic impacts of the aquaculture industry is provided and the key stakeholders who may be involved in aquaculture disputes along with their legitimate interests are identified. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach-The GMCR methodology comprises two main stages: modeling and analysis. During the modeling stage, key decision makers (DMs), the options under each DM's control and each DM's relative preferences over feasible states are identified based on a thorough background investigation to a given dispute. Within the analysis stage, solution concepts that describe key characteristics of human behavior under conflict are utilized to determine resolutions that could occur when DMs interact under pure competition and cooperatively. Interpretation of the equilibrium results provides meaningful strategic insights for better understanding which strategies a given DM could select as the conflict evolves over time. Findings-The results demonstrate how difficult it can be to balance the interests of different key stakeholders in aquaculture development. In all possible resolutions identified in the generic aquaculture conflict, at least two DMs among First Nations, environmental group and residents (Res) would object to the expansion of aquaculture activities due to the assumption that the government would choose to appease one stakeholder at a time. They also reflect the need for a useful tool box of decision technologies for addressing the vast range of challenges that could arise in the important area of marine economics and management. Originality/value-The GMCR methodology possesses several unique and key original capabilities in comparison to other conflict analysis models. First, it only requires limited information to calibrate a conflict model. Second, it contains a number of solution concepts that describe how a DM could think and behave under conflict. Third, it furnishes a range of informative output, follow-up analyses and advice for use in

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A strategic analysis of the New Brunswick, Canada fracking controversy

Cited by 17 publications

References 20 publications

Public Attitudes towards Hydraulic Fracturing in Western Newfoundland

Public Attitudes towards Hydraulic Fracturing in Western Newfoundland

Matrix representations of the inverse problem in the graph model for conflict resolution

Managing conflict in aquaculture

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