2021
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-79553-y
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A system dynamics model for pests and natural enemies interactions

Abstract: Stemborers (Busseola fusca, Sesamia calamistis and Chilo partellus), the fall armyworm (Spodoptera frugiperda) and associated parasitoids constitute an interacting system in maize fields in Kenya. This work aims at developing and evaluating models that represent the evolution of those interactions by applying system thinking and system dynamics approaches with its archetypes [causal loop diagram (CLD), reinforcing (R) and balancing (B)] to analyse the population of these multi-species systems. The software Ven… Show more

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Cited by 24 publications
(10 citation statements)
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“…Field surveys recorded higher FAW numbers (eggs and larvae) than combined numbers of cereal stemborers, both native ( B. fusca and S. calamisitis ) and exotic C. partellus on maize plants. Although surveys conducted just at the beginning of FAW invasion in Kenya revealed a possible co-existence of FAW with stemborers [ 13 , 59 ], our results demonstrate that within an approximately four-year period since its invasion in Kenya, FAW has become the dominant lepidopteran pest species in local maize fields where they cohabitate with stemborers. Before FAW invasion, stemborers were the dominant lepidopteran pests in maize fields in Kenya, with C. partellus being dominant in low-altitude zones, while B. fusca dominated the high-altitude zones [ 60 , 61 , 62 ].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 60%
“…Field surveys recorded higher FAW numbers (eggs and larvae) than combined numbers of cereal stemborers, both native ( B. fusca and S. calamisitis ) and exotic C. partellus on maize plants. Although surveys conducted just at the beginning of FAW invasion in Kenya revealed a possible co-existence of FAW with stemborers [ 13 , 59 ], our results demonstrate that within an approximately four-year period since its invasion in Kenya, FAW has become the dominant lepidopteran pest species in local maize fields where they cohabitate with stemborers. Before FAW invasion, stemborers were the dominant lepidopteran pests in maize fields in Kenya, with C. partellus being dominant in low-altitude zones, while B. fusca dominated the high-altitude zones [ 60 , 61 , 62 ].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 60%
“…It has been shown for parasitoids that the invasion of S. frugiperda was reported to have a negative effect on parasitoids especially decrease the parasitism rate of stem borers (Sokame et al 2021b). This is due to the abundance of parasitoids that may follow the abundance of pests (Sokame et al 2021a). This pattern accepts the hypothesis that interaction diversity is linked to the Lotka-Volterra prey-predator system, which is the positive correlation between pest abundance and natural enemies (Boukal and Krivan 1999).…”
Section: Effect Of S Frugiperda Invasion On Attack Intensity Of Native Lepidopteran Pests and Diversity Of Natural Enemiesmentioning
confidence: 60%
“…Besides the effect on economic loss, the invasion of S. frugiperda may also affect native biodiversity. In Africa, the infestation of S. frugiperda can affect the native biodiversity by reducing both native insect pests and other insect communities (Sokame et al 2021b;Sokame et al 2021a). Larvae of S. frugiperda have the ability to compete (intraspecies competition) and predate other larvae (cannibalism) (Chapman et al 2000;Ren et al 2020).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This gives an advantage of FAW over maize stemborers resulting of an overall reduction in stemborer density generally observed in maize elds in Kenya at the beginning of the season (Sokame et al 2021a), a displacement of some of them to other cereals in Uganda (Hailu et al 2021). However, the speci city of FAW to feed on leaves and stemborers to plant stems in late instars might result in the co-existence fall armyworm with stemborer species in maize agroecological zones (Sokame et al 2020(Sokame et al , 2021b. Therefore, the invasion of FAW in Africa constitutes an additional pest to crops in agroecosystems that need to be considered within the context of integrated pest management strategies.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%