A Time-Series Fertility Equation: The Potential for a Baby-Boom in the 1980's

Wachter, Michael L.

doi:10.2307/2525999

Cited by 34 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…This variable also has a negative effect on fertility, which implies that couples do not demand more children when the husband's income rises, but more probably spend more on those they already have or, in other words, they invest in quality (8). This result was also obtained by Georgellis and Wall (1992), Whittington (1993) and Zhang, Quan and Van Meerbergen (1994), although many other scholars such as Wachter (1975), Butz and Ward, (1979), Shield and Tracy (1986) and Ermisch (1987) obtain a positive incidence.…”

Section: (Insert Table 4)supporting

confidence: 60%

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Do Child Tax Allowances and Social Benefits Affect the Decision to Have Children? An Empirical Study in Spain

Marco

Giménez

2003

SSRN Journal

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This paper presents an aggregate estimation based on time series data for Spain (1979-1999) of the effects of dependent child tax allowances and social benefits (i.e. income tax allowances for children and social security benefits for each dependent child, one-off birth payments and paid maternity leave) on the decision to have children. This is the first study of its kind to have been carried out in Spain. The majority of these child tax allowances and social benefits are relevant in explaining fertility. Other key factors affecting the decision to have children are the value of women's time and the rate of unemployment. Housing costs and a measure of changes in married couples' disposable income resulting from amendments to personal income tax regulations also appear to have significant effects on the estimation. KEY WORDS: Dependent child tax allowances and social benefits, Spanish personal income tax, Social Security, demand for children, cost of children.

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Section: (Insert Table 4)supporting

confidence: 60%

“…h. In the absence of income data, Handa (2000) uses per capita spending. Wachter (1975), Conger and Campbell (1978) and Ermisch (1980) are in fact interested in including the intergenerational effect in order to test the Easterling hypothesis (1969,1978). To do this, Wachter (1975) and Ermisch (1980) use relative incomes as a measure.…”

Section: Urmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do Child Tax Allowances and Social Benefits Affect the Decision to Have Children? An Empirical Study in Spain

Marco

Giménez

2003

SSRN Journal

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“…(See, for example, Easterlin 1962Easterlin , 1966aEasterlin and b, 1968Easterlin , 1969Easterlin , 1973Easterlin , 1978 Those who have participated in the ensuing discussion include Ahlburg (1982), Ben-Porath (1975), Butz and Ward (1979), Denton and Spencer (1975, Chs. 3, 10), Easterlin et al (1978a and b), Lee (1976Lee ( , 1981Lee ( , 1987, Moffit (1982), Samuelson (1976), Schultz (1987), Wachter (1975), and Ward and Butz (1980). Among the few analyses specifically concerned with macroeconomic implications of microeconomic optimizing behaviour are Cigno (1988), Barro and Becker (1988), Denton and Spencer (1983, 1984, 1988, and Lee and Lapkoff (1988).…”

Section: The Micromodeimentioning

confidence: 99%

Macro-effects of changes in household preferences for children

Denton

Spencer

1989

J Popul Econ

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The basic ideas underlying the analysis in this paper are that family size can be viewed as an economic life cycle decision and that there are decision trade-offs among fertility, consumption, and leisure. A micromodel of life cycle choice is developed and embedded in an economic-demographic macromodel. The macromodel is then used in a series of computer experiments to assess the effects on the population and the economy of changes in household preferences for children. The experiments include 'factual" and "counterfactual" simulations of Canadian historical demographic experience and simulations of alternative future scenarios. The analysis and conclusions have general relevance for countries that have been through a fertility boomand-bust sequence.

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“…Thus, young couples are able to realize their aspirations of having and providing for many children. As economic conditions in the United States improve in the 1980s, fertility rates are expected to increase (Easterlin 1978, Wachter 1975.…”

Section: Competing Perspectives On American Fertilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The idea that favorable economic conditions are related positively to fertility (Easterlin 1976, Wachter 1975) also is suspect. First, this argument is based upon the incorrect assumption that the U.S. labor force currently is characterized by a low supply of young male workers (Ford Foundation 1983).…”

Section: Competing Perspectives On American Fertilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

American Fertility and Industrial Restructuring: A Possible Link

Ettlinger¹

1988

Growth and Change

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Despite the fact that economic and demographic factors conventionally are considered to be integrally related, researchers have overlooked recent changes in the structure of the American economy that may have affected fertility in the US. This article seeks to raise questions and explores the possibility that recent processes of industrial restructuring have created new employment patterns and socioeconomic conditions which have influenced American fertility positively. Specifically, conditions of underemployment and unemployment, generated by the service and manufacturing sectors, may be conducive to increased fertility.

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A Time-Series Fertility Equation: The Potential for a Baby-Boom in the 1980's

Cited by 34 publications

References 9 publications

Do Child Tax Allowances and Social Benefits Affect the Decision to Have Children? An Empirical Study in Spain

Do Child Tax Allowances and Social Benefits Affect the Decision to Have Children? An Empirical Study in Spain

Macro-effects of changes in household preferences for children

American Fertility and Industrial Restructuring: A Possible Link

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