2019
DOI: 10.1353/eca.2019.0002
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A Unified Approach to Measuring u*

Abstract: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz … Show more

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Cited by 48 publications
(58 citation statements)
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References 81 publications
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“…Tuzemen (2019) finds that ongoing demographic and technological changes could lower the trend unemployment rate to 4.4 percent by the end of 2022. Our results on the important role of the long-run decline in the inflow rate for the secular decline of the unemployment rate trend are consistent with the findings of Tasci (2012) and Crump, Eusepi, Giannoni and Şahin (2019).…”
supporting
confidence: 92%
See 3 more Smart Citations
“…Tuzemen (2019) finds that ongoing demographic and technological changes could lower the trend unemployment rate to 4.4 percent by the end of 2022. Our results on the important role of the long-run decline in the inflow rate for the secular decline of the unemployment rate trend are consistent with the findings of Tasci (2012) and Crump, Eusepi, Giannoni and Şahin (2019).…”
supporting
confidence: 92%
“…In contrast, studies that estimate a Philips-curve based natural unemployment rate typically find values lower than the one in this paper for the current period (see, for example, Crump et al (2019) and a discussion in Petrosky-Nadeau and Valletta (2019)). Since in the recent past inflation has not been very responsive to changes in the unemployment rate, and since current inflation remains low, Philips-curve based natural rates cannot differ too much from the actual unemployment rate.…”
Section: How the Trend Unemployment Relates To U*contrasting
confidence: 71%
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“…An emerging literature has already started to explore these consequences. Glover and Short (2018) and Hopenhayn, Neira, and Singhania (2018) link the demographic channel to the decline in the labor share; Pugsley and Şahin (2019) show that the emergence of jobless recoveries can be traced back to the decline in firm entry and subsequent aging of firms; Alon, Berger, Dent, and Pugsley (2018), Atkeson, Burstein, and Chatzikonstantinou (2018) and Peters and Walsh (2019) link the de-mographic driven declines in entry to the slowdown of aggregate productivity growth; and Crump, Eusepi, Giannoni, and Şahin (2019) argue that the demographic channel is an important driver of the secular downward trend in unemployment. If present trends in fertility and immigration continue, the startup rate will remain near its current levels, and understanding the equilibrium implications of slowing labor force growth will be especially relevant.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%