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Recent advancements in technologies pertaining to the drilling of horizontal well and multistage hydraulic fracturing have made it possible to get significant hydrocarbon production even from extremely low permeability formations. Evaluation of the economics is becoming increasingly essential before committing to any big investment. In this scenario, production forecasting plays an important role by not only evaluating the economic feasibility of the project, but also helping in the selection of the most optimal development strategy (Shivam et al. 2017). This paper presents an integrated workflow that has been applied in one of unconventional gas bearing formation which is a common reservoir in Egypt’s Western Desert. It does form a reasonable reservoir size and spread over several hundred sq.kms. It is characterized as a low permeability carbonate (0.2 mD) in soft chalk reservoir. Many vertical wells were drilled and completed in the appraisal program for collecting the required data to evaluate reservoir performance before the completion of horizontals, but economical target production rates could not be achieved. To help optimize field development strategy and further increase production, a full field development plan was initiated by drilling horizontal wells with multistage fracturing stimulation. Horizontal pilot wells were drilled and completed along and perpendicular the minimum horizontal in-situ stress direction to enable both transverse and longitudinal fracture propagation patterns for the best completion option. The objective of this paper is to present an integrated approach to evaluate an unconventional resource, improve the completion efficiency, improving the future fracture design and understand the productivity enhancement specifically in the Western Desert of Egypt, through a detailed analysis of production data and pressure transient analysis. The conclusions from this study will help in evaluating the behavior of multistage fractured horizontal with different fracture azimuth direction and generate production forecast for different development scenarios. The stimulated rock volume estimation will help in planning the future fracture design to increase well EUR. The proposed workflow and lessons learned formed the basis for subsequent development of various unconventional plays in Egypt.
Recent advancements in technologies pertaining to the drilling of horizontal well and multistage hydraulic fracturing have made it possible to get significant hydrocarbon production even from extremely low permeability formations. Evaluation of the economics is becoming increasingly essential before committing to any big investment. In this scenario, production forecasting plays an important role by not only evaluating the economic feasibility of the project, but also helping in the selection of the most optimal development strategy (Shivam et al. 2017). This paper presents an integrated workflow that has been applied in one of unconventional gas bearing formation which is a common reservoir in Egypt’s Western Desert. It does form a reasonable reservoir size and spread over several hundred sq.kms. It is characterized as a low permeability carbonate (0.2 mD) in soft chalk reservoir. Many vertical wells were drilled and completed in the appraisal program for collecting the required data to evaluate reservoir performance before the completion of horizontals, but economical target production rates could not be achieved. To help optimize field development strategy and further increase production, a full field development plan was initiated by drilling horizontal wells with multistage fracturing stimulation. Horizontal pilot wells were drilled and completed along and perpendicular the minimum horizontal in-situ stress direction to enable both transverse and longitudinal fracture propagation patterns for the best completion option. The objective of this paper is to present an integrated approach to evaluate an unconventional resource, improve the completion efficiency, improving the future fracture design and understand the productivity enhancement specifically in the Western Desert of Egypt, through a detailed analysis of production data and pressure transient analysis. The conclusions from this study will help in evaluating the behavior of multistage fractured horizontal with different fracture azimuth direction and generate production forecast for different development scenarios. The stimulated rock volume estimation will help in planning the future fracture design to increase well EUR. The proposed workflow and lessons learned formed the basis for subsequent development of various unconventional plays in Egypt.
Single Well Reservoir Modeling (SWRM) has been used mainly during the early exploration stage in order to perform productivity estimations and further, to optimize the completion strategy. However, its scope is limited due to the availability of petrophysical and dynamic pressure data from either single or few wells in the block. Variousmethods have been formulated in past to increase the robustness of SWRMs for relatively accurate forecasts. This research introduces a novel technique for the concurrent inversion of pivotal reservoirparameters – horizontal permeability, vertical permeability, skin, and boundary distances – for their spatialarrangement within the grid cells of a three-dimensional single well reservoir model (SWRM). The aim is to harnessthe interpretation results from standard pressure transient analysis of well test data, using it as a prioriinformation for the intricate inversion problem. Our methodology begins with crafting a layer cake geological model derived from the petrophysical analysis of logging data, calibrated by the interpretation results of well test pressure transient analysis. This is succeeded by a systematic flow simulation of field well test operations in the layer cake model, leading to the generation of model pressure data which mostly differs from the acquired well test pressure data. To ensure convergence, we define a cost function that amalgamates both the well test pressure data and the model pressure data. This cost function depends on the reservoir parameters like horizontal permeability, vertical permeability, skin and boundary distances, which need to be refined to achieve a pressure history match. To do that we introduce an inversion approach, where simultaneous inversion of all these reservoir parameters take place in an iterative manner to minimize the cost function. Crucially, our inversion methodology is tightly regulated by a multiphase fluid flow simulator, which constantly solves the implicit black-oil fluid-flow diffusivity equations at each iteration to calculate the error between model pressure and acquired well test pressure. A range including minima and maxima of each property is provided to the inversion scheme, which ensures that at each iteration, we gain a renewed distribution of reservoir parameters. These parameters, in turn, feed into an error scheme steered by the cost function. A Gauss-Newton (GN) inversion method, complemented by a regularization technique, facilitates inversion-based re-distribution of properties across geomodel grid cells. To enhance the fidelity of inversion outcomes, the a priori parameters provided to the solver are rigorously assessed, and if needed, fine-tuned via uncertainty parameter optimization (UPO). The proposed technique offers a swifter and more dependable method forredistributing reservoir parameters in a homogenous layer cake geomodel, infusing it with the much-neededheterogeneity. Such methodical redistribution not only augments the reliability and credibility of a geomodel butalso sets it up as a robust foundation for production forecasting strategies.
Single Well Reservoir Modeling (SWRM) is typically utilized in the early stages of exploration for productivity estimates and optimizing completion strategies. However, its effectiveness is hindered by limited petrophysical and dynamic pressure data from single or a few wells in the block. Various methods have been developed to enhance the reliability of SWRMs for more accurate forecasts. This study presents a new technique for concurrently estimating key reservoir parameters - horizontal and vertical permeability, skin, and boundary distances - and their spatial distribution within the grid cells of a three-dimensional SWRM. The goal is to leverage interpretation results from standard pressure transient analysis of well test data as prior information for this complex inversion problem. The methodology begins by creating a layer cake geological model based on petrophysical analysis of logging data, adjusted using interpretation results from well test pressure transient analysis. This is followed by systematic flow simulation of field well test operations in the layer cake model to generate model pressure data, which typically differs from acquired well test pressure data. To ensure convergence, a cost function is defined that combines both the well test pressure data and the model pressure data. This cost function relies on reservoir parameters such as horizontal permeability, vertical permeability, skin, and boundary distances, which must be refined for a pressure history match. An inversion approach is introduced to simultaneously refine all these reservoir parameters in an iterative manner to minimize the cost function. Importantly, the inversion methodology is closely regulated by a multiphase fluid flow simulator, which solves implicit black-oil fluid-flow diffusivity equations at each iteration to calculate the error between model pressure and acquired well test pressure. A range of minimum and maximum values for each property is provided to the inversion scheme to ensure a renewed distribution of reservoir parameters at each iteration. These parameters are then used to drive an error scheme guided by the cost function. A Gauss-Newton (GN) inversion method, supported by a regularization technique, facilitates the redistribution of properties across the geomodel grid cells. To improve the accuracy of inversion results, the initial parameters provided to the solver are thoroughly evaluated and, if necessary, adjusted through uncertainty parameter optimization (UPO). This proposed technique offers a faster and more reliable approach to redistributing reservoir parameters in a homogeneous layer cake geomodel, introducing much-needed heterogeneity. This systematic redistribution not only enhances the reliability and credibility of a geomodel but also establishes a strong foundation for production forecasting strategies.
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