IMPORTANCE
Estimates of weight regain following bariatric surgery vary widely.
OBJECTIVE
Describe weight regain following post-Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) weight nadir, and compare common weight regain measures for association with clinical outcomes.
SETTING
Ten hospitals in six US cities: Portland, OR, Seattle, WA, Fargo, ND, Pittsburgh, PA, New York, NY and Greenville, NC.
DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS
Adults undergoing bariatric surgical procedures entered a prospective cohort study between February 2006-February 2009 (N=2458) and completed pre-surgery, six month and annual assessments for up to seven years through January 2015.
Participants who underwent RYGB and were followed ≥5 years with ≥5 weight measurements were included (83%; 1406 of 1703, excluding deceased/reversals).
EXPOSURE
Weight regain assessed by five continuous measures (kg, body mass index [BMI; kg/m2], % pre-surgery weight, % nadir weight and % maximum weight loss) and eight dichotomous measures (per established thresholds) were compared in relation to clinical outcomes based on statistical significance, magnitude of association and model fit.
MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES
Progression of diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and hypertension, and declines in physical and mental health-related quality of life, and satisfaction with surgery.
RESULTS
Medians (25th–75thpercentiles) are reported. Pre-surgery age was 47 years (38–55) and BMI was 46.3 (42.3–51.8). Most participants were female (80.3%) and white (84.9%). Follow-up was 6.6 (5.9–7.0) years. Maximum weight loss was 37.4% (31.6%−43.3%) of pre-surgery weight, occurring 2.0 (1.0–3.2) years post-surgery. The rate of weight regain was highest in the first year following weight nadir, but regain continued across follow-up, ranging from 9.5% (4.7%−17.2%) to 26.8% (16.7%−41.5%) of maximum weight lost, one to five years post-nadir. The % participants who regained weight depended on threshold (e.g., five years post-nadir, 43.6% regained ≥5 BMI points, 50.2% regained ≥15% of nadir weight and 67.3% regained ≥20% of maximum weight lost). Percentage of maximum weight lost vs. other continuous weight regain measures, had the strongest associations with, and best model fits for, all outcomes except hyperlipidemia, which had a slightly stronger association with regain in BMI. Of dichotomous measures, ≥20% of maximum weight lost performed best with all outcomes except hyperlipidemia and satisfaction (≥10 kg and ≥25% of maximum weight lost were superior, respectively).
CONCLUSIONS
Among a large cohort of adults who underwent RYGB, weight regain quantified as percentage of maximum weight lost performed better for association with most clinical outcomes than the alternatives examined. These findings may inform standardizing measurement of weight regain in studies of bariatric surgery.