2016
DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00024-2016
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Acute pulmonary embolism: mortality prediction by the 2014 European Society of Cardiology risk stratification model

Abstract: The European Society of Cardiology (ESC) has proposed an updated risk stratification model for death in patients with acute pulmonary embolism based on clinical scores (Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) or simplified PESI (sPESI)), right ventricle dysfunction (RVD) and elevated serum troponin (2014 ESC model).We assessed the ability of the 2014 ESC model to predict 30-day death after acute pulmonary embolism. Consecutive patients with symptomatic, confirmed pulmonary embolism included in prospective coh… Show more

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Cited by 230 publications
(136 citation statements)
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“…In conclusion, PESI and sPESI may be considered useful tools for the initial evaluation of PE patients, although we believe in agreement with other authors, 25 that further studies are probably required to improve the risk profile of patients at intermediate risk. It is possible that the widespread use of high-sensitivity troponin will increase the number of positive results at presentation 26 and improve its prognostic value.…”
Section: Pulmonary Embolism After the European Society Of Cardiology supporting
confidence: 89%
“…In conclusion, PESI and sPESI may be considered useful tools for the initial evaluation of PE patients, although we believe in agreement with other authors, 25 that further studies are probably required to improve the risk profile of patients at intermediate risk. It is possible that the widespread use of high-sensitivity troponin will increase the number of positive results at presentation 26 and improve its prognostic value.…”
Section: Pulmonary Embolism After the European Society Of Cardiology supporting
confidence: 89%
“…On the other end of the risk spectrum, as many as 59.8% of patients were classified in the low-risk group using the biomarker-based strategy with an acceptable rate of an adverse outcome (1.0%, 95% CI 0.3-2.3) while only 16% of patients were classified in the low-risk group by the 2014 ESC algorithm; none (95% CI 0.0-2.7) of these patients had an adverse outcome. Of note, because hsTnT and NT-proBNP were measured in all patients, the number of patients reclassified from low risk to intermediate-low risk might have been higher than in real-world scenarios [19]. Although routine performance of imaging or laboratory testing in the presence of a sPESI of 0 is not considered necessary by current ESC guidelines [1], evidence is accumulating that especially younger PE patients with fewer comorbidities might be misclassified as low risk if further assessment of RV (dys)function is withheld [20].…”
Section: Normotensive Patients With Acute Pe N=843mentioning
confidence: 98%
“…Hypovolemic shock patients tend to do well, with mortality rates under 10% (10). Obstructive shock includes disparate underlying conditions (i.e., cardiac tamponade, pulmonary embolism), occurs less frequently and is less well studied, making outcome estimates difficult (11, 12). …”
Section: Shock Definition and Epidemiologymentioning
confidence: 99%