Introduction:Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a gastrointestinal emergency. It is characterized by hematemesis or melena or both. Rapid identi ication and stabilization of patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding presenting to the Emergency Department (ED) is essential for patient survival. This study was done to inspect the use of the Clinical Rockall score to predict the outcome in patients with UGIB.
Methods:A prospective study of two hundred and seventy two patients who presented to the ED of T.U. Teaching hospital within a period of one year with hematemesis or melena or both was performed. The Clinical Rockall Score was calculated for each patient based on the points assigned for clinical variables.
Results:The mean age of patients with AUGIB was 47.83years with males (64.7%). The commonest cause of UGIB was esophageal varices 86 (31.6%), followed by ulcers 53 (19.5%). Hematemesis was the commonest mode of presentation in 133 (48.9%) followed by melena in 95 (34.9%) and both in 44 patients(16.2%). The overall mortality rate was 14.3% and was 0%, 0%, 9.3%, 3.2%, 6.5%, 62.1%, 83.3% and 100% for Clinical Rockall Score of 0,1,2,3,4,5,6 and 7 respectively. High clinical Rockall score of >4 was associated with outcomes like transfusion in 81% patients, rebleeding in 61.9% and mortality in 69% of patients. The predictive accuracy of clinical Rockall score for transfusion, the AUROC was 0.737(95% CI: 0.678-0.791, p=0.001); for rebleeding, the AUROC was 0.863 (95% CI: 0.8-0.927, p=0.001) and for mortality, the AUROC was 0.877 (95% CI: 0.81-0.944, p=0.001).
Conclusions:Clinical Rockall Score is a simple and rapid non endoscopic risk score that can be applied at the time of presentation to the ED to predict mortality outcomes in patients with acute UGIB.