“…exceeds a critical threshold of 0.37473 (Penmetsa and Grandhi, 2003). If random variables X 1 = a m , X 2 = S u , X 3 = x, X 4 = q, X 5 = R o , and X 6 = R i , and have their statistical properties defined in Table 3, the performance function becomes Table 4 presents predicted failure probability of the disk and associated computational effort using MPPbased univariate method, mean-point-based univariate and bivariate methods (Xu and Rahman, accepted for publication), FORM, HohenbichlerÕs SORM (Hohenbichler et al, 1987), and direct Monte Carlo simulation (10 6 samples).…”